The entire point is NO one KNOWs
The odds of a 4th rounder becoming a starter is not 50%. You can find those stats somewhere on the World Wide Web*.
Fair. The odds are with people who think he will fall into the law of large numbers and flame out..
So would you say the odds and probability of afans to project him as a starter, have B+ level talent, fluid and agile in his 2 preseason tackles, is the Sean Lee of DB in instincts, etc. Might be betting on 0 or 00 to come up 3x on the roulette wheel?
The safety position is atrocious. I can only think that Washington maybe fielded 2 worse combined safeties last year.
The best hope for the safety position is Wilcox. Church can't cover OK in run support good tackler. Wilcox is promising and taken at good value. Johnson was a reach.
It is my only opinion he will be out of the NFL in a year, johnson may turn out to be a vacarro, chancellor, etc. - unlikely though
Safties are very important. Fielding at best average at worst garbage since 2005, the safety posiotion needs to be taken seriously.
I heard the same praise from coaches on Watkins, butt-shot davis, Lynn Scott, etc.
Johnson will get his turn again this year. The odds are he won't pan out...not as much of a stretch that he will even be Reid doughty.