CoCo;2318973 said:
How bout I ask this question a different way.
Who here, when the board was gaga over Julius early, was the voice of reason who said he would eventually be revealed as fools gold?
I'm told there were a couple folks. Honestly, I was never on board with both feet like many were. So if Julius fooled the masses before what makes you so sure that Felix fate isn't eventually the same.
And I'm not talking 2006 & 2007 Julius. Duh, anyone can see the difference in productivity there. I'm talking vintage Julius versus today's Felix.
I think Julius Jones' career in Dallas was unusual ... he was an anomaly.
Most often, when a back comes into the league and enjoys the level of success that Julius Jones did, that back continues to be productive (unless injured).
Julius Jones wasn't. He was unusual in that it just doesn't happen very often that an RB shows excellence early on and then develops into an uninspired, robotic, and largely inept player.
So when I read your question, I read it like this:
"Why don't you expect Felix Jones to be as unusual as Julius Jones?"
My answer is that, from a probability standpoint, the unusual just doesn't happen that often. It is unlikely that Felix Jones' career will develop in the same unusual way that Julius Jones' career developed.
-- I agree with other posters who say that Julius Jones' unusual (and unfortunate) development was probably a result of mental factors (attitude, insecurity, lack of focus, etc.).