If we draft a QB in 25 or 26, here are the odds they will be a success

[gtb1943]

most of the first rd busts were over drafted and the desperation for QBs got them their money

The really spectacular busts like Leaf and Jumongos were obvious to anyone that really looked hard and asked hard questions.
But physical talent and flash blinds GMs and coaches all too often

BUT the fact is Brady is a HUGE outlier; a true freak. Bottom line is that if you want a franchise QB you have to draft him high in the first rd to have a good shot at success

 

[fivetwos]

One reason why 50% of 1st round QB's fail is cause teams just take a guy and they don't wait for the right QB. That would have been the lynch pick instead of Dak and look how that turned out. Has to be the right guy that fits with the right oc or the offense won't reach it's potential. Just look at San fran. They took 1 guy with the 1st pick and 1 guy with the last pick in the draft who got their offense better. Now lance is trying to beat out backup.

They also generally go to bad teams and are thrown into the fire immediately….ready or not.

Then if there’s no immediate success they are probably looking at a new staff and offense before long.

Guys like Darnold, Lance, Wilson etc may have greatly benefited from being able to be developed slowly and properly, but the way things are set up necessitates the need for them to play right away and the staff needs to win right away or be gone.

It ends up reducing the number of capable QBs and hurts the overall product. They don’t need a QB salary cap, they need a way to compensate them in return for a redshirt type of situation, and incentive to put the time into development before they can walk.

 

[jazzcat22]

Why are you trying to turn this into yet another Dak thread? I really don't understand.

How did you come up with that?
I only said what was done and how some reacted.