Is Dak Prescott's contract actually that bad

[Chasing6]

No but we do have one position that's paid as if it were dominant

You still don't comprehend team sports.

 

[thunderpimp91]

Im not saying Baker cant play in this league. Both have good bus driver as their ceilings...but I think Dak's floor is higher because he doesnt throw the ball directly to the other teams player near as much.

I think I understand what you’re saying, I just don’t think it’s that much different for these two guys. If you go by career numbers then yes you’re 1000% correct, if we go by recent history of the last two to theee years they are very close to being the same player, especially in terms of turnovers.

2023
Dak - 11 ints, 1.5 int %, 2.2 turnover worthy play %
Baker - 12 ints, 1.8 int % 3.3 TWP%

2024
Dak - 8 ints, 2.8 int%, 4.7 TWP %
Baker - 9 ints, 2.9 int% 3.9 TWP %

With all things equal give me dak. Include the contract situations and I’d much rather have Baker at $30m because I fully believe most starting caliber veteran QBs are around the same level and more dependent upon the supporting cast than their own abilities.

 

[FanofJerry]

I think I understand what you’re saying, I just don’t think it’s that much different for these two guys. If you go by career numbers then yes you’re 1000% correct, if we go by recent history of the last two to theee years they are very close to being the same player, especially in terms of turnovers.

2023
Dak - 11 ints, 1.5 int %, 2.2 turnover worthy play %
Baker - 12 ints, 1.8 int % 3.3 TWP%

2024
Dak - 8 ints, 2.8 int%, 4.7 TWP %
Baker - 9 ints, 2.9 int% 3.9 TWP %

With all things equal give me dak. Include the contract situations and I’d much rather have Baker at $30m because I fully believe most starting caliber veteran QBs are around the same level and more dependent upon the supporting cast than their own abilities.

I forget how good or bad the teams Baker played for starting out. If he is on a good squad and now has NFL experience....he could end up like Darnold or Goff.

He made a bonehead play Monday that had the Manning Brothers shaking their head. I forget the details of the play, but it was something I have never seen Dak do...thats how bad it was. Dont remember the details of the play...just remember telling myself I have never seen Dak do that and I remember the Mannings shaking their heads and saying you cant do that. Also saw him throw a couple of bad decisions that could have been turnovers.

Dak has played with good OLines...so maybe it is hard to evaluate Dak vs Baker.

 

[BoysForLife]

You still don't comprehend team sports.

I comprehend it better than someone who delivers Impossible meat performance at Wagyu steak prices

I get sick of the people who reveled in Daks contract complaining about the holes in this team, while a JAG is eating up a sizeable portion of the cap and playing like a donkey

 

[zeke21]

Most think it is bad and it is actually worse than what they think. Horrific contract and only going to get worse.

Single worst contract in NFL history. Will be judged even worse as time goes on.

Has completely destroyed our ability to compete in the short, medium and probably long term. This franchise is stuffed... but Dak will have a nice house, so there is a silver lining.

I actually don't blame Dak or his manager.. this is solely on the shoulders of the Jones family and the idiots they hired to advise them.

 

[LocoBates]

Absolutely Yes

Only a Masochist owner would sign a contract like this in 2024 (or any era for that matter)

Just an observation; if your list included QBs from 23 years ago TB12 would wreak your view about mobility, Top high QB pay and ROI, but he is an outlier and will always be.

 

[Jfconrow]

It’ll be interesting if Rush plays great. You can’t sign Rush. Also Lance is up for a contract but hasn’t shown anything. So Dallas might not have any backup QBs next year.

 

[krs1bro]

Not only yes, but hell yes.

Have you watched this abysmal performance from Dak this year.....what a joke. No accuracy and timed looking. Where the heck is that guy who took over for Romo back then?

 

[RoboQB]

Last year, all we heard was how he was the MVP
runner-up. "Just look at his stats".
This year he's ranked in the bottom third of starters in the NFL.
He sucks. The contract sucks. The GM sucks.
And we're stuck with it.
I can only enjoy how, one by one, the Pollyannas begin to realize what many have known all along.
Where's "Crockpot" been?

 

[Hoofbite]

This contract is the one that’s gonna keep on giving until it’s over.

Let’s check back in March when they restructure him AND his 2026 base salary becomes guaranteed.

 

[PAPPYDOG]

There is Hell and then there is Dak's Contract................if you still care about Jerry Jones (and his circus of clowns/Yes men) from Will McClay to Dak Prescott.
For years, I've opened a bottle of Pappy's finest and let the laughter begin because this old man wasn't allowed to get the PAPPYDOG down, as life is too short.
Also, If I want to watch a real football team and elite QB, there are games like last week's Bengals vs. Ravens that fill the void.

I'd buy both of these guys for 60 million..............and there worth every penny.

 

[GimmeTheBall!]

In terms of overall QB play this season the top 15 list would arguably look something along the lines of:

Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Jared Goff
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Justin Herbert
C J Stroud
Kyler Murray
Sam Darnold
Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford

A few quarterbacks can be moved around here and there plus there's a case for the likes of Purdy and Williams to be in the top 15 but in general, it's not an outlandish list.

The point being Dak Prescott is no where to be seen within the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this season and for good reason.

Realistically going forwards with the likes of Caleb Williams and Bo Nix likely to improve a whole lot more and even accounting for say Darnold, Mayfield and Cousins struggling to back up their form into next season and the potential of Stafford and/or Rodgers retiring, do people really see Prescott getting himself into the top 10 ranked quarterbacks next season?

In terms of big name quarterback contracts on the horizon how many are there? Purdy at the end of this season, C J Stroud likely in 2026 and perhaps Josh Allen at some point during that period to restructure his contract given he's only in the low 40s at this time and to spread the cap hit of his next contract with the Bills.

Other than that there are not too many more before Prescott's contract will be up for renewal again - perhaps his will be a year after a bunch of the top 10 guys. The point being that when we look back at the highest earning quarterbacks over the 9 years prior to Prescott's current contract expiring, he will have likely been either the highest earner or at least a top 3 earning QB over those 9 years! Astounding really given the horrific ROI in terms of relevant performance to the team winning important games against good teams. It also completely blows out the water the ridiculous notion/assertion that, "his contract will be around the 15th highest paid quarterback in a year or two" - no it will not!

I am very interested to find out how much Purdy is offered by the 49ers. I do not think it will be $60+ million a year. I think he will take a commercial view and be pleased to take a bit less to stay and play for a good team rather than earning more on a bad team. In those circumstances, I wouldn't be surprised if he accepted around $50 million a year. But who knows, the 49ers might be the next team to massively overpay for a solid NFL starting quarterback. Again, it is noticeable that his overall use and performance is increased when he scrambles and moves to acquire first downs or extend plays which leads me to my next point...

My final observation is that of the above top 10 ranked NFL quarterbacks in the league this season, only Goff lacks mobility. The other 9 can all move at will to extend plays and rush for a much needed first down. Same rules apply to the young quarterbacks coming through like Love, Nix and Williams. If you are planning to pay top dollar to a quarterback then surely they require some mobility in the modern NFL? If not then pay them around the $45-$50 million range to compensate for that to facilitate the payment of two stud running backs like Montgomery and Gibbs or draft a stud RB in the first round like Robinson...

Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come.

Fair play to him though as he will have brought in $400+ million over 9 years - Jerry must be in a whole world of pain right now!

Good show, me liege.
Much respect for you louts who take time to agree with our challenge our assumptions with good analyses on par with national writers.

You write: "Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come."

We already knew tha as you know. The troubling thing is tha the same geniuses re Lance, Mingo or Dak or Sequel Elliott of years ago, well they still remain. Nothing will change tha. Stephen might be smart enough to hire a Troy Aikman as GM or a Shanahan type innovative HC when Yoda moves on to heaven. Baby steps for the future, but a championship, realistically, seems 10-15 years away. But now we stay to watch the trainwreck known as the Cowboys. And hope for adequate draft picks with which to rebuild.

 

[nate dizzle]

Yes

Aaaand scene...that's a wrap everyone.

 

[Chasing6]

In terms of overall QB play this season the top 15 list would arguably look something along the lines of:

Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Jared Goff
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Justin Herbert
C J Stroud
Kyler Murray
Sam Darnold
Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford

A few quarterbacks can be moved around here and there plus there's a case for the likes of Purdy and Williams to be in the top 15 but in general, it's not an outlandish list.

The point being Dak Prescott is no where to be seen within the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this season and for good reason.

Realistically going forwards with the likes of Caleb Williams and Bo Nix likely to improve a whole lot more and even accounting for say Darnold, Mayfield and Cousins struggling to back up their form into next season and the potential of Stafford and/or Rodgers retiring, do people really see Prescott getting himself into the top 10 ranked quarterbacks next season?

In terms of big name quarterback contracts on the horizon how many are there? Purdy at the end of this season, C J Stroud likely in 2026 and perhaps Josh Allen at some point during that period to restructure his contract given he's only in the low 40s at this time and to spread the cap hit of his next contract with the Bills.

Other than that there are not too many more before Prescott's contract will be up for renewal again - perhaps his will be a year after a bunch of the top 10 guys. The point being that when we look back at the highest earning quarterbacks over the 9 years prior to Prescott's current contract expiring, he will have likely been either the highest earner or at least a top 3 earning QB over those 9 years! Astounding really given the horrific ROI in terms of relevant performance to the team winning important games against good teams. It also completely blows out the water the ridiculous notion/assertion that, "his contract will be around the 15th highest paid quarterback in a year or two" - no it will not!

I am very interested to find out how much Purdy is offered by the 49ers. I do not think it will be $60+ million a year. I think he will take a commercial view and be pleased to take a bit less to stay and play for a good team rather than earning more on a bad team. In those circumstances, I wouldn't be surprised if he accepted around $50 million a year. But who knows, the 49ers might be the next team to massively overpay for a solid NFL starting quarterback. Again, it is noticeable that his overall use and performance is increased when he scrambles and moves to acquire first downs or extend plays which leads me to my next point...

My final observation is that of the above top 10 ranked NFL quarterbacks in the league this season, only Goff lacks mobility. The other 9 can all move at will to extend plays and rush for a much needed first down. Same rules apply to the young quarterbacks coming through like Love, Nix and Williams. If you are planning to pay top dollar to a quarterback then surely they require some mobility in the modern NFL? If not then pay them around the $45-$50 million range to compensate for that to facilitate the payment of two stud running backs like Montgomery and Gibbs or draft a stud RB in the first round like Robinson...

Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come.

Fair play to him though as he will have brought in $400+ million over 9 years - Jerry must be in a whole world of pain right now!

Mountain Mahomes makes the top 15.

 

[big dog cowboy]

You can’t sign Rush.

Why not?

 

[big dog cowboy]

Have you watched this abysmal performance from Dak this year.....what a joke.

Yes I watch each game at least twice.

 

[kskboys]

Have you watched this abysmal performance from Dak this year.....what a joke. No accuracy and timed looking. Where the heck is that guy who took over for Romo back then?

You mean the guy who threw for all of 3,600 yds?

Exact same guy w/ no running game and no D.

 

[BoysForLife]

Have you watched this abysmal performance from Dak this year.....what a joke. No accuracy and timed looking. Where the heck is that guy who took over for Romo back then?

Same guy.

Except back then the team carried him.

Now he's "the man" and it's his job to elevate the team.

He's just simply not capable of doing so. Never was. Never will be

 

[BoysForLife]

You mean the guy who threw for all of 3,600 yds?

Exact same guy w/ no running game and no D.

You beat me to it.

100% agreed

 

[CowboyoWales]

Dak has played with good OLines...so maybe it is hard to evaluate Dak vs Baker.

What you can evaluate is the value between the two and whether Dak provides better value when his Cap hits are higher than Bakers to the tune of:
$38m in 2024
$54m in 2025