Only because the data it is based on is imperfect. Unless you understand stats it will be tough ti explain but when you analyze data you have to ‘correct it’ for other variables that are going on and the data you are talking about is not corrected. Show me multivariate analysis or Cindex analysis showing this to be the case and then we can talk. I already discussed this with AdamJT13 several years back and he had to admit that he had no idea how the data he was analyzing was collected and that it was not corrected for other important variables.
You mean The Jets will play much like we did with Cooper rush but that only works if you can keep the score down.....
It really isn’t, though. The running game is only important insomuch as it helps your passing efficiency, which is where games are won and lost. The team that passes the ball more efficiently wins at least 80 percent of the time. Running well has absolutely no correlation to winning.
What hidden variables are you alleging would change the outcome?
Game situation has a ton of variables, are you trying to run out the clock, are you trying to get 1 yard on 3rd 1 or 3 or 4 or 5 yards, which down is the run on and what are your tendencies, how many is the defense playing in the box, if the defense is keying on the run and making it easier to throw it will look like tge run game wasnt effective and throwing won the game and a multitude of other variables that are not accounted for. Context matters
Yeah, of course passing efficiency is important but it is much more efficient with an effective run game
Sure and situationally like at the end of games and with a lead, running effectively obviously helps you win. There is still no correlation to winning or scoring points in the aggregate.
Yeah but correlation does not equal causation. In addition to what i said above, there is also the whole issue of multiple evaluations of the same data, ie multi-collinearity of variables, no reputable statistician will do that because it is not worth the paper it is printed on. When a drug company is evaluating a new drug, they have to go to the FDA apriori with a data analysis plan. They also have to outline the variables they will study for significance and what order they will analyze them in. This is all done before the trial even begins. So if they have submitted 10 variables and number 2 is not significant, they cannot even present the next 7 even if they turn out to be significant. This is because it is well understood that when you take a large database and just look for any correlation between factors a ton of things will come up as correlated by chance when in reality they are not, and vice versa.
Sure, mechanics and experimentation do. Since we don't have that I do not see what difference it makes.
Their DL is good. This will test the run game and pass protection by the RBs.
The important thing is that the Players know how tough this game is. Just like the rest of the free world, they are aware of the Hard knocks, and nonstop media drumbeat declaring the Jets super bowl bound.
The Jets won those 7 games with a combination of Flacco, Moore, and Wilson. The fan base turned on Wilson so they had to deactivate him. Less than a year ago Hall tore his ACL. They are coming off a short week against a non AFC opponent with an elite defense on the road. Hall at best might get 10 carries. They plugged holes for Rodgers not Wilson.
It’s not. A team with with a poor running game can win consistently as long as it passes efficiently. A team with a poor passing game cannot win consistently no matter how well it runs.
