Jones and His Incredible Ability to Defeat Probability

[Cowboys5217]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

 

[john van brocklin]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

Jerry's biggest weakness in being GM, is his inability in hiring the right Coaches.
Except for Jimmy and Bill, the other hires have been underwhelming.
What is really bad, is his inability to admit failure and cut bait once its obvious that he picked the wrong guy.
Jason Garrett for 9.5 years happens on NO other NFL team.
He seems to value familiarity more than change.
That does not work in the NFL.

 

[Aven8]

Jerry's biggest weakness in being GM, is his inability in hiring the right Coaches.
Except for Jimmy and Bill, the other hires have been underwhelming.
What is really bad, is his inability to admit failure and cut bait once its obvious that he picked the wrong guy.
Jason Garrett for 9.5 years happens on NO other NFL team.
He seems to value familiarity more than change.
That does not work in the NFL.

He does the same thing with players. Someone on here said recently said that had we drafted Carson Wentz he would still be our QB. That tells you all you need to know

 

[bewp7]

he have the formula

and if the formula dont work for 30 years what do u do????

the same thing change nothing. double down triple down run it back

good job jerry that is how u over come the odds!!!

 

[jazzcat22]

he have the formula

and if the formula dont work for 30 years what do u do????

the same thing change nothing. double down triple down run it back

good job jerry that is how u over come the odds!!!

Jerry's formula is .... do it my way ... regardless if he is wrong for 30 years.

 

[john van brocklin]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

Also, I might add, the NFL is super competetive.
Even well run teams have a difficult time being successful.
You put an amatuer GM in charge and you are at a severe competetive disadvantage.

 

[MountaineerCowboy]

I think Jerry is obsessed with doing the opposite of what everyone thinks he should.

If 90% of the media and fans say “Ben Johnson is the no brainer HC hire” then you can rest assured that Jerry won’t even interview him.

Nobody wants anything to do with Schottenheimer as a HC, so what’s Jerry do? He seriously flirts with it.

I think he thinks that if he goes the way people think is the correct way, then he won’t be doing it “his way” because he would just be doing what everyone says he should do.

If you think someone would be a great hire for the Cowboys you would stand a better chance of getting that person hired by telling Jerry how much of a bad fit he would be than you would by telling Jerry how great they would be.

 

[Miller]

At 82 years old Jerry doesn’t care what we think anymore. He wants familiarity & comfort. When I covered the Cowboys during Parcells days I’ll never forget after he left I was told that it was Jerry’s worst years as Owner/GM because he was bored & not allowed to do what he usually did. Unfortunately true story.

 

[Jarntt]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

I'd say it's 0%. I mean what GM would still be GM 30 years later if that were the case. Actually I stand self-corrected, it's 3.125% as in 1/32 because it happens in Dallas and nowhere else

 

[slick325]

Jerry is the only owner in pro sports who would not change the GM situation based on this history and historical stat.

 

[john van brocklin]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

Jerry is really destroying his legacy.
Its really sad.
He had such an outstanding start.
If he would have just been willing to stay in the background, he could have been highly respected.
As it is, he has run off most serious fans of this team.
As a fan of the Cowboys for 50 years he has destroyed my enthusism for this team.

 

[CanadianCowboysFan]

I'd say it's 0%. I mean what GM would still be GM 30 years later if that were the case. Actually I stand self-corrected, it's 3.125% as in 1/32 because it happens in Dallas and nowhere else

wouldn't it be 1/16?

 

[John813]

It's the curse of the 500 coaches comment. From that moment on, in my opinion, Jerry lost all respect for the Head coaching position. It became the puppet position, with Jerry wanting more over reach to show everyone he's a football expert.

The results speak for themselves. Great businessman, bad football "expert"

 

[slick325]

At 82 years old Jerry doesn’t care what we think anymore. He wants familiarity & comfort. When I covered the Cowboys during Parcells days I’ll never forget after he left I was told that it was Jerry’s worst years as Owner/GM because he was bored & not allowed to do what he usually did. Unfortunately true story.

What's crazy about what Yates wrote is that Jerry has been allowed to do what "he usually did" and yet they still take free agency off. Stephen's voice carries more weight in Dallas than in the past. I think he is keeping the "Maverick" from following is natural instinct.

 

[big dog cowboy]

Yep. Been saying that for a very long time. Dang aggravating.

 

[MyFairLady]

I think he is keeping the "Maverick" from following is natural instinct.

The maverick is 82 freaking years old. He enjoys having a drink and taking a long nap. He "works" from home. He isn't interested in learning a new persons name he can barely remember the names of the people he has known for 20 years.

 

[Jarntt]

wouldn't it be 1/16?

No, it would not. There are 32 teams. This would only happen in Dallas because the owner is the GM. Follow?

 

[32BellyOption]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

Excellent posts and now I’m even more depressed lol

 

[Cowboys93]

He’s going to pass one day and people are literally going to be happy. Imagine being disliked that much for your decisions and even more imagine not being cognizant of those sentiments…..insane

 

[Mannix]

I'm not sure what the status is for quoting Bob Sturm articles here, so please just google it. I want to bring attention to some math that has been worked out in it.

It has been my contention that Jerry Jones is so inept, so contrarian because he is GMing to spite the angry fans, that he has become a statistical outlier.

According to the math, for any GM to not make at least one CCG in 30 years the probability is only 1.8%. Now I know the Jerry defender contrarians will immediately try to point out Miami, Cleveland, and any other team who has (or had like the Lions and Commodes until recently) went longer I will counter that by stating the obvious - none of those teams besides the Cowboys has had the same GM for that entire time. This is a unique Jerry distinction.

It has not been hyperbole when I have been saying that the single biggest advantage any NFL team has right now is NOT having Jerry Jones as owner/GM because he is so bad at his job that not even blind luck is applicable. There is no broken clock being right twice per day, no blind squirrel finding the nut, no flukes, no stars aligning, no lotto win, no chaos theory.

It just simply won't happen till that old jerk is no longer in control. And you see why the coaching search has been nothing but a joke so far.

The collective fan base is a better football guy by a long shot than Jerry. He's an anti-football guy and the math proves it. Had we collectively GM'd the team through fan poll votes there is a better probability that the Cowboys make at least one CCG in the 21st Century.

Or his pumpkin headed kid. (Bold above)