Maso's WR Rankings

[masomenos]

Here are my WR Rankings, as promised (well promised to one person lol). It's not something that predicts where a WR will be chosen, but rather where they deserve to go, based on how their skills project to the NFL. No, the system isn't perfect but by going back and seeing where players like Marques Colston (early-mid second), Mike Williams (6th round) and Patrick Crayton (third) (among others) would have projected has helped me check the validity of the system. This is the first year it will be used on an incoming draft class though and there are going to be a lot of things people don't agree with I imagine.

-Top 5 Pick-Player of Rare Ability
1. Calvin Johnson - 4.9

-Early to Mid First-Pro Bowl Potential
2. Steve Smith - 4.4
3. Dwayne Bowe - 4.2

-Mid to Late First- Very Good Player
none

-Early to Mid Second - Good Player
4. Johnnie Lee Higgins - 3.4

-Mid to Late Second - Above Average Player
5. Anthony Gonzalez - 2.7
6. Ted Ginn Jr - 2.6

-Third Round - Average Player
7. Chris Davis - 2.4
8. Robert Meachem -2.4
9. Laurent Robinson - 2.3
10. Aundrae Allison - 2.1
11. Dallas Baker - 2.0

-Fourth to Fifth - Slightly Below Average Player
none

-Fifth through Sixth - Below Average Player
12. Dwayne Jarrett - 1.2
13. Dave Ball - 1.2
14. Jason Hill - 1.0

-Seventh and UFA - Bottom of Roster
15. Sidney Rice - 0.9
16. Ryne Robinson - 0.5
17. Steve Breaston - 0.5
18. Aaron Fairooz - -0.1
19. Mike Walker - -0.4
20. Chauncey Stuckey - -1.7

So there you go. I haven't been able to do it for every WR prospect in the draft and I haven't been able to find information on Craig Davis from LSU so that's why he's absent from the list. Also Ted Ginn's score hinges on how well he runs on the 12th and right now is just an estimated position.

So three sleepers for this year are Chris Davis, Laurent Robinson and Dallas Baker. Three overrated players are Dwayne Jarrett, Sidney Rice and Jason Hill.

I know it's unpopular to only have a couple guys worthy of first round picks but that's how it works.

Yikes, we'll see how this goes.

 

[tomson75]

um....no. You didn't by any chance go to UTEP did you?

 

[carphalen5150]

Wow...this is horrid. Congrats.

 

[Aikbach]

You never know, there are flops and gems in every draft.

Mike Williams was a can't miss...but it turns out that meant the buffet table and not the football field.

People like Kevin Dyson, Ike Hilliard, JJ Stokes, Charles Johnson, Troy Edwards and Michael Westbrook were all first round picks that didn't deserve that distinction.

People like Carl Pickens, Terrell Owens, Steve Smith and Rod Smith were taken in the third round or later.

You get lucky sometimes, players bomb in other instances, it is not the end of the world to miss on a pick but if you do it year in and out it becomes a problem.

 

[Doomsday101]

No way will the draft look anything like this.

 

[Danny White]

I didn't know Mel Kiper Jr. posted here!

 

[zrinkill]

In my opinion ..... this is way off

 

[YosemiteSam]

Bada bing!

 

[Rockytop6]

In my opinion ..... this is way off

"Way off" is the understatement of all understatements.

 

[smarta5150]

I am the one and only he promised this for

We were debating about the secondary guys though... this is a WR list.

 

[YosemiteSam]

"Way off" is the understatement of all understatements.

and to top it off, your statement is under his!

 

[superpunk]

No way will the draft look anything like this.

I don't think it's projected draft round - just projected talent level.

Like if you had made a thing like this before Peyton-Leaf-gate, Peyton would have been Top 5 and Leaf would have been UDFA - if you had the ability to know such things.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I like you as a poster mason, but not this list

 

[theogt]

Of course you'll be criticized because it doesn't conform to the conventional wisdom, but it's an interesting list. I'd like to see the formula.

 

[masomenos]

I am the one and only he promised this for

We were debating about the secondary guys though... this is a WR list.

The other guy in the conversation with us actually asked to see both lol, so that's why this one is up. The safety one is actually a good deal less radical.

Anyways, like I said, I knew that the WR list wouldn't be popular but it's no big deal. Sadly we have to wait a year to really have any idea of how these players will do, and even that won't be enough information to judge the players with.

I am surprised with how low Meachem rated, I was really high on him for a while but I was pleasantly surprised to see some smaller school guys like Laurent Robinson show up. I imagine the biggest problems people have are the low ratings of players like Sidney Rice and Dwayne Jarrett, and maybe some with a guy like Johnnie Lee Higgins. It's ok, I stand by the list.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

mason, what was the criteria?

 

[smarta5150]

Can you post the formula for us?

 

[masomenos]

Can you post the formula for us?

At this point I'd rather not just post it, but I will PM you with it. As well as Summer and the Bob Barker guy since they asked.

 

[smarta5150]

At this point I'd rather not just post it, but I will PM you with it. As well as Summer and the Bob Barker guy since they asked.

Bob Barker guy

"The price is wrong *****."

Theo or the GT guy I always thought it was

 

[aikemirv]

The other guy in the conversation with us actually asked to see both lol, so that's why this one is up. The safety one is actually a good deal less radical.

Anyways, like I said, I knew that the WR list wouldn't be popular but it's no big deal. Sadly we have to wait a year to really have any idea of how these players will do, and even that won't be enough information to judge the players with.

I am surprised with how low Meachem rated, I was really high on him for a while but I was pleasantly surprised to see some smaller school guys like Laurent Robinson show up. I imagine the biggest problems people have are the low ratings of players like Sidney Rice and Dwayne Jarrett, and maybe some with a guy like Johnnie Lee Higgins. It's ok, I stand by the list.

I really don't understand what you mean with this statement.