Something tells me that no matter how poorly Wentz plays you would be quick to put your pom poms on and spin it as the greatest thing since the forward pass was created. And then when he struggles, you would compare his stats to Joe Namath or Troy Aikman's.
It's really pathetic to watch.
Just like every stat last year had Wentz having a really good season thru his first 5 games. Then as the sample size grew he had a miserable rookie campaign.
It's not like I'm making this data out of thin air. Football Outsiders, Brian Burke and Warren Sharp have all seen the same exact data as well. That's why 3rd down conversions are often overrated because it's more important to do well on first and 2nd down. Just like the overrated importance of the 'red zone' when the best offensive scoring teams have performed the best on their own 20 to 50 yard line. Or how people overrate the importance of winning the running game or think Switzer running the ball off a kickoff return from the back of the end zone was a 'bad idea.' There's a plethora of fallacies in football that are spouted every day.
There's no doubt in my mind that Wentz has improved, but using 3rd down conversions as proof that he's a better QB has some real holes in terms of proving causation. The sample size is also small and the fact is that Dak still has a higher QBR than Wentz does this season and had a far higher QBR than Wentz did all of last season.
And that's with the Eagles averaging, sans Wentz, 4.5 yards per carry versus the Cowboys, sans Prescott, averaging 3.9 yards per carry.
At this point, the proof is that Dak is the better QB at this point in time. He has a better QBR than Wentz right now, he had a far better QBR last season and he has a far long sample size of playing well.
YR
The proof does not say Dak is the better QB. Only the "proof" you deem important (specifically any stat/analysis where Prescott is better and then throw out every stat/analysis that suggests he isn't).
And you'd be wrong about what I think of Wentz. I wouldn't put him in the Top 7 or so of QBs either. And the idea that he's 6th and Dak is 15th is pretty preposterous as the gap isn't nearly that big. But there is an argument, that he's having a better, even if slightly, season than Prescott. The fact you basically say that's impossible is kind of comical.
Funny you should mention Football Outsiders. They rank the QBs. Their two key measurements are DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement) and DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Replacement).
In DYAR, Wentz is 7th, Prescott is 15th.
In DVOA, Wentz is 9th, Prescott is 14th.
So according to FO, Wentz is having a better year this year.
