No problem. Happy to share info with fellow fans.
Disclaimer
First of all, forgot to mention this, but I am not a MD or PhD. My info comes from 2 nerve regeneration PhDs whose info are a bit dated. So I dont have statistics other than what I find in medical journals etc.
@FuzzyLumpkins and
@Doc50 may have a lot more info.
Actually
@FuzzyLumpkins does not quite agree with all my conclusions - so I suggest you check with him to get his opinion.
Is the Nerve Healed
We do not know. No medical person has said anything that I can find publicly. We are operating on opinions from experts and tweets from various people and matching the anticipated timeline with these rumors/tweets/etc.
One useful piece of info.
Given the time estimates from the medical people, the nerve should have gotten there by now, but are the connections between the nerve and the muscle connecting correctly? By now, if the nerve is not responding at all, most medical people tell me that there should have been surgical intervention - but there has only been happy tweets etc. But it does not mean he is 100% healed/rehabbed or he would be playing.
Here is a simplistic way that I like to think about it - think of his nerve as a printer cable and his muscle as the printer. The injury disconnected the cable and damaged the last 6 inches of the cable so the printer cannot print even though the computer is sending (firing) the information. It takes a few months for the cable to get fixed and get back to the muscle, but because you unplugged the printer cable while the printer is on, the computer and printer need to talk to each other correctly. That is part of the way I think of the rehab. You cannot simply turn both off and then back on, resetting everything...
Jaylon's Chances This Season
I know it is preferable to put Jaylon's chances in a certain category, but I am going to put you back on the rollercoaster a bit. I am no expert, but from what I have read, IMO I am putting Jaylon's chances this year higher than 1 month ago. With no basis than just gut feeling, I was at 20% and I am now somewhere around 33%. The reason is there is no report of any setback that would require surgical correction.
The most intriguing aspect of the situation is not what the Cowboys are saying, but it is what they are not saying. Jerry would not comment on whether the
Cowboys would bring Smith back for a playoff run. "J
aylon Smith is in absolute excellent shape," Jones said. Adding: "...Certainly to the extent that we should be optimistic about some of the things we are seeing but that's obviously what I'm representing. We'll leave it at that, I don't think he's ready to go against Baltimore." IMO,
Jerry sounds like the proverbial smug cat that ate the canary. The FO has seriously put the 'clamps' on him to shut him up (as well as Jaylon which IMO is much easier). IMO, Jerry is ready to burst and scream out loud to the world that the Cowboys, under the management of Jerry Jones, has just had the best draft in the history of the NFL.
Of course, many call me an glass 3/4 full person. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000740119/article/jerry-jones-tackles-dak-romo-as-future-coach
Jaylon's Chances Next Season
I think most of us share your primary concern - that he gets close to 100% next season.
Next camp is more than 18 months after surgery.
Dr. Cooper said 9-15 months for full recovery.
So that is beyond the range given by the doctor.
IMO, if he is not close to ready for next camp, we are in trouble.
If he is close but not there, I would guess there is still hope.
But all the medical people are careful to say there are no guarantees for 100% success.
I tend to be optimistic in the sense that medical people do not want to jeopardize their reputation by overpromising. With professional reputation at stake, it is much safer to under-promise and over-deliver.
Here is an article I submitted in BTB that tried to translate the abstract of a medical journal article that compared statistics of injuries that were were worse and also a lot worse than Jaylon's injury:
http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2016...l-literature-on-nerve-regeneration-statistics