NFC Seeding

[JD_KaPow]

I agree but I still would never gamble the game on a two point conversion.

Why not? OT is generally a 50-50 proposition, and making a two-pointer is generally a 50-50 proposition. Why would you prefer one over the other, in general?

And if you think the specifics of the game make OT a worse than 50-50 proposition, you should choose the two-pointer. It makes sense for an underdog to do that, or a team who's lost players on defense and doesn't think they can hold up in an OT. The Ravens were both those things.

And I don't understand the "gamble the game" language. You either gamble the game on a two-pointer or you gamble the game on OT. You have to pick one; each is as much a gamble as the other.

 

[Silverz1972]

Ideally we get the third seed.

bucs get second seed and draw the saints.
We get third seed and get 49ers.

 

[VaqueroTD]

If the playoffs started next week it would be the 49ers @ Cowboys in the wild card round.

Always down for whipping some 49er arse in the Tourney, hope it stays that way.

 

[BourbonBalz]

Why not? OT is generally a 50-50 proposition, and making a two-pointer is generally a 50-50 proposition. Why would you prefer one over the other, in general?

And if you think the specifics of the game make OT a worse than 50-50 proposition, you should choose the two-pointer. It makes sense for an underdog to do that, or a team who's lost players on defense and doesn't think they can hold up in an OT. The Ravens were both those things.

And I don't understand the "gamble the game" language. You either gamble the game on a two-pointer or you gamble the game on OT. You have to pick one; each is as much a gamble as the other.

One play. No thanks.

 

[JD_KaPow]

Current seeding:
NFC
GB (11-3)
DAL (10-4)
TB (10-4)
ARI (10-4)
LAR (9-4)
SF (8-6)
NO (7-7)

There are three 6-7 taems that haven't played yet, not sure what happens to the 7th seed if one or more of them win. I don't think the Rams can change their seeding with a win or loss this week.

AFC
KC (10-4)
NE (9-5)
TEN (9-5)
CIN (8-6)
IND (8-6)
LAC (8-6)
BUF (8-6)

The Browns are 7-6, they would become the 4 seed if they win. Not sure how the rest of the 8-6 teams fall out in that case.

 

[JD_KaPow]

One play. No thanks.

Why not? If you figure that play has a 51% chance of success and overtime only has a 49% chance of success, why wouldn't you pick the one play?

 

[CanadianCowboysFan]

I agree but I still would never gamble the game on a two point conversion.

he has lost 2 of 3 by being "agressive"

 

[CanadianCowboysFan]

Why not? If you figure that play has a 51% chance of success and overtime only has a 49% chance of success, why wouldn't you pick the one play?

because if you miss it guarantees a loss

 

[BourbonBalz]

he has lost 2 of 3 by being "agressive"

Sort of similar to the Chargers a few nights ago. There’s aggressive and there’s dumb.

 

[JD_KaPow]

because if you miss it guarantees a loss

So what? If you lose in OT that's a loss too. The goal isn't to stay alive as long as possible, the goal is to win. You should do whatever gives you the best chance to win.

 

[Cowfan75]

Green Bay will lose twice, Tampa will lose one to Carolina. I'm wearing my powdered wig.

 

[BourbonBalz]

Why not? If you figure that play has a 51% chance of success and overtime only has a 49% chance of success, why wouldn't you pick the one play?

I think my post said it all. I’m not gambling the game on ONE play. I don’t think I can be more straightforward than that. You can disagree all you want. I promise it won’t bother me one bit.

 

[JD_KaPow]

because if you miss it guarantees a loss

But that doesn't make any difference. If you lose in OT, you've still lost, you don't get bonus credit for dragging the game out longer.

 

[JD_KaPow]

I think my post said it all. I’m not gambling the game on ONE play. I don’t think I can be more straightforward than that. You can disagree all you want. I promise it won’t bother me one bit.

I'm just trying to understand the logic. You'd gladly reduce your chances of winning in order to drag the game out longer. I don't get it.

 

[CanadianCowboysFan]

So what? If you lose in OT that's a loss too. The goal isn't to stay alive as long as possible, the goal is to win. You should do whatever gives you the best chance to win.

a one percent difference is insignificant

 

[BourbonBalz]

I'm just trying to understand the logic. You'd gladly reduce your chances of winning in order to drag the game out longer. I don't get it.

Then I can’t help you.

 

[Coy]

3 way tie gives us the 2 seed. We were a Baltimore 2 point conversion away from jumping to the 1 seed

Nah, Arod would have gotten a Fg to end the game and everybody knows that

 

[JD_KaPow]

a one percent difference is insignificant

Then why do you care which option to take? And why wouldn't you take the 1% advantage (understanding that it's just an estimate, but it's the best you have)? What if you thought the difference was 20%?

 

[BleedSilverandBlue]

I believe we are the 3 seed now. I am open to being corrected, but I think TB has us in tie breaker.

Need to take care of business and let others drop games down the stretch.

Playoff games at home are way easier

Edit: We are the 2 seed!!!

Thanks for the correction.

4 words for you.

Just keep winning baby.

 

[reddyuta]

Ideally we get the third seed.

bucs get second seed and draw the saints.
We get third seed and get 49ers.

no offense but i would rather play the Saints again as the 2nd seed.