I don't know how people are saying this team will barely beat its win mark from last year. We had the worst defense in football, an offensive line decimated by injury, and lost our starting QB for most of the season. I am not saying they're going to be the '85 Bears but come on now. Just having our QB for the whole season last year would have probably won us the division (not a huge accomplishment given how bad it was last year, but still).
The defense WILL be improved and finish somewhere in the top-14 to top-20 range. We added too many decent pieces (and most importantly a competent D Coordinator) not to get a little better. I really do think that Parsons will be a difference maker for this defense, D-law and Gregory will be the best pairing at DE that we have had in a long time, and the secondary will be serviceable. The one massive question mark in my opinion is DT. On paper we are very weak there and we could have trouble stopping the run. All in all though, we will be better on D. I believe that is +2 or +3 wins to our total from last year. We also get back our entire Oline and starting QB. Add that to the equation and I think you can safely add +2 or +3 more wins to our total. All of that being said I think that 10-7 is probably the most likely scenario, but I could see 11-6 or even 12-5 if things break our way (we are due for some good luck BTW). If the Oline falls apart again there is a good chance we crash back down to like 8-9 or 9-8, but I really don't think we will be ravaged by injuries like last year. I think that 10 or 11 wins will probably be enough to take the division crown and at the very least sneak in to a wildcard spot.
I'm excited for this season. I think that we have reasons to be optimistic to an extent. All in all last year was tough to watch with our replacement level QB, practice squad Oline, and horrendous defensive play. As long as the squad is competitive in most games I will be happy. I truly do think we're only a few pieces away from becoming a great team, but have what we need to be good now.