This argument... that we should take late round quarterbacks... has always bothered me. I've always thought late round QB's are at best a waste of draft capital and at worst franchise stalling wastes of time. It always bothered me when a team would draft a QB 4th round or later.
I've done this in the past and went back to do this again. Here is a list of the guys from the last 10 draft classes that were drafted in the 3rd round or later. I hated the 4th round QB's but thought I might be able to improve this steaming piling of garbage by adding the 3rd round.
Here we go....
2024 – Spencer Ratler, Jordan Travis, Joe Milton, Devin Leary, Michael Prat
Looks Like – 0-5 I realize it's tough to judge the 2024 class, and we'll see, but I don't see a stellar signal caller there. No one has torn up there camp, but I also understand the argument for not including this class as well.
2023 – Hendon Hooker, Jake Haener, Stetson Bennet, Aiden O’Connell, Clayton Tune, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Sean Clifford, Jaren Hall, Tanner McKee, Max Duggan
Looks like 0-10
2022 – Kenny Pickett, Desmond Ritter, Malik Willis, Matt Corral, Bailey Zappe, Sam Howell, Chris Oladokun, Skylar Thompson, Brock Purdy
Looks like 1-8
2021 – Kellen Mond, Davis Mills, Ian Book, Sam Ehlinger
Looks like 0-4
2020- Jacob Eason, James Morgan, Jake Fromm, Jake Luton, Cole McDonald, Ben DiNucci, Tommy Stevens, Nate Stanley
Looks like 0-8
2019 – Will Grier, Ryan Finley, Jarrett Stidham, Easton Stick, Clayton Thorson, Gardner Minshew, Trace McSorely
Looks like 0-7
2018 – Mason Rudolph, Kyle Lauletta, Mike White, Luke Falk, Tanner Lee, Danny Etling, Alex McGough, Logan Woodside
Looks like 0-8
2017 – Davis Webb, CJ Bethard, Joshua Dobbs, Nathan Peterman, Brad Kaaya, Chad Kelly
Looks like 0-6
2016 – Jacoby Brissett, Cody Kessler, Connor Cook, Dak Prescott, Cardale Jones, Kevin Hogan, Nate Sudfeld, Jake Rudock, Brandon Allen, Jeff Driskel, Brandon Doughty
Looks like 1-10
2015 – Garrett Grayson, Sean Mannion, Bryce Petty, Brett Hundley, Trevor Siemian
Looks like 0-5
To me this looks like out of 73 draft picks.... 2 may have worked out. Of those two "hit's" you get Dak and Brock Purdy. Both of these guys are constantly talked about getting replaced by better, more talented QB's. Both of these QB's have questions surrounding them if they can carry a team and how would they do with a weaker roster. IMO, these guys aren't top 10 QB's who are the reason for their teams success.
Just for giggles... lets add the 2nd round picks from the past 10 years.
Will Levis, Kyle Trask, Jalen Hurts, Drew Lock, Deshone Kizer, Christian Hackenberg
There are only 6. I'm not a fan of Jalen Hurts and think he is vastly overrated and carried by the rest of his roster.... but I can see a case for calling this 1-5.
I don't have any time to debate today.... but this tells me that for the past 10 years, of the 79 QB's taken second round or later the results are awful and that's putting it mildly. Even counting the second round, less than 4% of the time you hit on a QB... and when you "hit" it's Hurts, Purdy or Dak. A lot of people would only build a franchise around Hurts. There is a real argument that you are 1-78 the last 10 drafts when drafting 2nd round or later trying to get a "build your franchise around" elite QB.
2nd and later
3-79 = 3.80% hit rate
3rd and later
2-73 = 2.74%
5th round and later
1-42 = 2.38%
Ignoring Dak, Hurts and Purdy you'd be 0-76.
I don't have any time to debate today.... but I'm open to hearing about how drafting later round QB's is a great idea. I would love to come back here and read a well thought out explanation on why we need to do this. I just don't see any rational reason why it makes sense to draft late round quarterbacks other than the same old... but there is a chance you could draft Brady!
