I recall at one time that about 80% of winning SB QB’s were 1st round picks. But when I was looking up data to support this I ran across this article which was startling .
There have been 38 quarterbacks drafted in the first round since 2011, the year the NFL changed the collective bargaining agreement to set a wage scale for rookie deals, making it extremely affordable to draft a quarterback.
If winning a Super Bowl is too finite a goal (and only one quarterback on his rookie deal has led his team to the Super Bowl) then we can expand to being one of the four final teams in the postseason. Besides Mahomes:
Three others led their teams to a Super Bowl appearance (
Burrow,
Goff, Newton — who was not on his rookie deal at the time).
Three others led their teams to a Conference Championship Game (Bortles, Luck, Allen).
This of course focuses on winning in Rookie deal but later in the article it also discusses how it’s actually more likely in recent years to acquire an aging QB , former 1st rd pick , to win a SB.
Very insightful article which opened my eyes. Good read!!
https://www.foxsports.com/stories/n...t-round-qbs-makes-lamar-jacksons-case-for-him