Activating him is not a shot in the dark. It is a 3 week extension for Jerry not to have to answer questions and for the team not to have to announce that his knee isn't improving. If he still has to feeling from the nerve then it is not improving. It has had more than enough time to regrow the 6 inches and once that is done it should begin to fire if it has grown correctly. Every day that goes by now that it doesn't refire is bad news and the percentage for it never refiring correctly goes up. You talk about confidence for next year but why? It hasn't refired at all and we are still looking at it possibly never refiring. There is nothing being reported that points to it ever refiring so no one knows anything at this point. If it doesn't start firing within a month or two, I'd say its better than 50-50 that he never plays again.
There is nerve regrowth and there is innervation into the muscle.
Based on all the estimates, the regrowth of 6 inches should be done by now.
How long the innervation takes is something I am not clear on.
Dr. Cooper gave 2 estimates:
1. Nerve regrowth - 1 month delay and 1 inch/month = August 8th or so.
2. 9-15 months for full recovery - so he bracketed the time from Oct 8th 2016 to April 8th 2017.
The difference between the time estimate between regrowth and full recovery is the time for individual differences, reinnervation of the muscle and rehab.
If the regrowth of the 6 inches had problems, they would know it and probably have done surgery to help. There was no surgery so I have got to think the regrowth is done.
Reinnervation is far less certain in terms of time and performance.
The update is they are using EMG and the EMG is improving. Here are the questions:
1. Does that mean the regrowth is still ongoing on for some reason?
2. Or does it mean the innervation is not complete?
3. Without inside info, one question you can ask is can EMG give you information on innervation or is it only regrowth information. This can help us possibly deduce questions 1 and 2.
4. That is what I am going to ask some experts.
5. Unless they share more details with us, we are still just reading tea leaves with some PhD guidance.