He is a good quarterback, but not elite. I don't think any other team is going to make him the highest QB in the NFL.
Elite is a Semantic argument.
He's a top 10 QB easily and probably more like 5 or 6 in value going forward the next 5-6 years.
NFL teams will likely NEVER have a chance to get Pat Mahomes again.
They don't have a shot at Watson.
Can scratch Kyler.
Only really bad play makes Lamar available....
Go down the list.
If they do have a shot at a guy that is the very best guy they WILL have a shot at, they will take it and pay the freight.
That's how this works and I am shocked you guys don't understand this.
Byron Jones is a very good CB. He is not the best CB. But he signed for the highest CB deal ever when he signed.
Top of the market Free agents gets overpaid EVERY YEAR.
It is without fail.
8 Quarterbacks make more in AAV than Dallas paid Dak this year on his franchise tag.
He isn't getting a pay cut.
The last 2 deals were at 45M AAV which he won't get. --a team could very well him 50M AAV but it wouldn't be real money.
And 39AAV which he almost certainly approaches if not beats.
Spotrac which does this for a living:
Dak Prescott Calculated Market Value
$37.8M AAV.
On the open market he'd beat that easily.
But it's very unlikely he hits the open market as DAL likely gives him that deal.
Perhaps given the injury they are more amenable to give him the shorter deal but it will still be at this rate or not get signed.
The best case for Dak and Dallas is a larger deal with 6 years to spread cap hits
Very large money up front.
year 1. 40M SB 2M Base cap hit 10M
year 2 Roster bonus 40M 2M base cap hit 18M
year 3 25M base cap hit 41M
year 4 30M base cap hit 46M
year 5 35M base ...
year 6 35M base ...
Total deal 224M 37.33AAV manageable cap hits for 2 cap restricted seasons.
Can flip year 3 to reduce cap hit massively.
Extend in year 4 or eat cap hit or cut.