It is certainly a pass heavy league, no arguing that. It's fastest way from point A to point B. Which is why a good defense is so crucial in this period of time. Tom Brady hasn't won another Superbowl since his stud class defense fell apart years ago with Vrabel, Bruschi, Seymour, Milloy, Law, Hamilton, Poole, Wilson. Not to discredit a fine QB. Brady is a stud. Even as talented is he is. We all know from watching the rivalry that Eli got his rings on a studded defense. Super Bowls (because of a pass happy league) are won every bit as much by the caliber of Defense you have.Yes, defense wins Super Bowls. Here is why. These are the average offense and defensive scoring numbers for Super Bowl teams:
Super Bowl Winner: 25.59 points per game, 15.86 points per game allowed
Super Bowl Loser: 25.67 points per game, 17.00 points per game allowed
During the regular season, the team that loses the Super Bowl actually scores slightly more often than the champion. However, they allow a much more significant 1.14 points per game on average than the winning team. That number continues to hold up in other statistics. The Total Defense of the Super Bowl loser is ranked 9.41 in the NFL on average, while the Total Defense of the winning team is ranked 6.5 on average.The champion of the league is ranked almost 3 spots higher on average than the losing team. On average, they are both ranked ~7th on offense. However, the Super Bowl winner is ranked about 8.7th on defense, while the loser was ranked 11.6th on D. Since 1990, teams ranked 1st or 2nd in scoring defense are 10-2 in the Super Bowl. Both losses (2010 Packers over Steelers, 2004 Patriots over Eagles) came to a team that was also ranked 1st or 2nd in scoring defense. Overall, teams ranked 1st or 2nd in scoring defense are 22-11. 31 of 46 Super Bowl winners had a top 5 scoring defense. 30 Super Bowl winners had a top 5 total defense. Last year being an oddity and Flacco did pretty great. 3 Td's early in the first half, disappeared in the second half. They almost lost that game. Kaepernick is still a little wet behind the ears. Some upside to him though for sure. But lets face it, QB's that think run first, rarely win the big game. I'd put every penny I have that if Tony Romo were in that Super Bowl as a SF 49er, they'd have won a Super Bowl last year.