Skins are worst matchup of year

windjc

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With nearly 9 minutes left in the game, the Ravens didn't see the ball until after the 2 minute warning. How do you win when you don't have the ball?
But but but but Kurt Cousins...

How you like me now?
 

AzorAhai

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Im the not at all worried about their defense. They are 10th worst in PPD against whereas the Cowboys are 2nd PPD for, along with tops in TOP. The Commanders should be very worried about long, drawn out scoring drives limiting their possensions. Add that to an incredibly short week of preparation for that defense and I'm not worried one bit.

Their offensive game plan should be more prone to struggle this week as well due to the short week. Dallas on the other hand can lean on Zeke and a favorable match up for an easier game plan to implement on a short week. I'm not overly worried about the match up. Don't give up big plays in the passing game and feed Zeke.
 

robbieruff

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The thread should have been titled The Cowboys worse match up for the Commanders.
Agreed...unless they're up by 20 on us early (e.g., due to offensive or special teams gaffes) they have not shot come the second half...even if the game is close come halftime, they'll be steam rolled come the 3rd quarter.
 

DCBoysfan

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I see Beas having a big game, he will be matched up with that kid Fuller who has been having all kinds of problems. And unlike Greenbay we won't be dropping our safeties down giving up long bombs. It's gonna be a good game but I expect us to wear them down just like everyone else. We are just too physical right now.
 

Oh_Canada

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To me the Ravens are the best defense they will face all year and hung 27 on them in three quarters essentially. However any divisional game is difficult by nature, so thy needs to be taken into account.
The Commanders will need to score at least thirty to win.
 

Eddie

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I'm going to enjoy the game, and then go to Denny's for dinner. :)
 

Kevinicus

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Yes, but in our case I believe we can hang with anyone and we just might be the #1 team in the NFL if not top 3. Our schedule is what it is, we have no control of it. The Commanders on the other hand can't hang with the best in the NFL. They struggled with our common opponents and we smashed them.

They've played worse than us against some opponents, but better than us against others. They are 5-1-1 in those games, and we are 6-1. The difference really isn't that great.

If you consider Dallas the best in the NFL, then they have in fact proven they can hang with the best as they had a lead fairly late and very easily could have taken a 2-score lead in the 4th.
 

Proximo

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Not sure if it's been mentioned in this thread yet but I see us having an advantage due to the logistics of the week.

Skins just played on prime time Sunday night on the east coast and had to travel across the country to play on Thursday afternoon, whereas we were home on Sunday at 1pm and obviously home again tomorrow.

And I think our offense is better suited to play on a short week than theirs. We don't need a full week of rest and gameplanning to line up and pound the ball. We will get those dirty yards and beat their defense up. The question will be how sharp is their offense. If we can rattle them early and even get a couple takeaways it could be lights out.

And our star rooks have a track record of shining on big stages in their college days. Let's see if that translates tomorrow. I could see Elliott going off.
 

MRV52

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They've played worse than us against some opponents, but better than us against others. They are 5-1-1 in those games, and we are 6-1. The difference really isn't that great.

If you consider Dallas the best in the NFL, then they have in fact proven they can hang with the best as they had a lead fairly late and very easily could have taken a 2-score lead in the 4th.


Which common opponents did the Commanders play better than us? If you want to play the "if" game. If Zeke doesn't fumble.
 

DandyDon52

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I agree. Secondary injuries hurt us this game b/c they have 5-6 viable passing options. That's why I said Lawrence and Crawford need to bring it. Enough of the flashes, play a great GAME.

Also Dez as much as I love him needs to finally show up vs an elite corner. I can't remember the last time he came out on top against one.
exactly, our weakness vs skins is passing and their guys are good and cousins has been playing good.

That is why the key is more long drives by dallas, keep them on sidelines, and fewer possessions, shorten the game.
It will be a tough game, unless we can run really good on them, and no turnovers, and maybe we get some turnovers.
 

gmoney112

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This is going to be a shootout. Now that I've said that, it's probably going to end 9-6.

I think this is actually our toughest game left this year. They're the best offense, for sure. Divisional game. If we're going to lose a game, this will probably be it. Actually pretty comparable teams.

Cowboys Offense = #2 yards per drive, #1 points per drive, #6 to's per drive (good thing), #1 in drives ending in TD or 1st down, #3 with 108 average passer rating, #4 with 4.7 yards per rush, average 28.5 points per game

Commanders Offense = #1 in yards per drive, #5 in points per drive, #17 in to's per drive (avg), #5 in drives ending in TD or 1st down, #9 with 99 average passer rating, #5 with 4.6 yards per rush, average 25.4 points per game.

Cowboys Defense = #25 in yards per drive, #14 in points per drive, #20 in to's per drive, #25 in drives ending in TD or 1st down, #20 in sacks with 20, #29 in opponent average rating with 99, #21 in yards per rush with 4.1

Commanders Defense = #26 in yards per drive, #22 in points per drive, #11 in to's per drive, #29 in drives ending in TD or 1st down, #6 in sacks with 27, #18 in opponent average passer rating with 93.8, #31 in yards per rush with 4.6

The average passer rating we're giving up, below league average in to's, and lack of pass rush is concerning since Washington is killing the passing game right now in big plays, #3 in the league with 28 passing plays over 25 yards. Dallas is actually one of the best in the league at preventing big pass plays though, numerically at #4 having allowed just one more than the Vikings.

We're also #2 in rushing "big plays", rushes over 10 yards, with 40 of them. We've rushed for more than 10 yards 40 times, that's pretty incredible. Commanders are about 10th worst in giving up these 10+ rushing plays, with 30. And for our pretty bad rushing yards per attempt on defense, we're about 5th in the league in preventing rushes over 10 yards.

We're better on offense, statistically, but they're definitely a larger threat in the passing game. Luckily we're one of the best in the league at stopping big plays. Defenses are pretty comparable, we're a little better at keeping points down, they're better at generating pressure and getting turnovers. These teams are basically mirror images of each other, with one being a little better at certain things than the other.

We're missing Mo which will definitely hurt, but they're missing Trent Williams. I'd say it's a draw.

One thing's for sure, this is one of the best Thanksgiving games in a long time. Two of the NFC's best, in division rivals, and very comparable teams going at it. It's going to be one hell of a game.
 

SkinsFan28

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I see Beas having a big game, he will be matched up with that kid Fuller who has been having all kinds of problems. And unlike Greenbay we won't be dropping our safeties down giving up long bombs. It's gonna be a good game but I expect us to wear them down just like everyone else. We are just too physical right now.

I agree with this. I may be hollering to cut Fuller by the end of the game. :(
 

Bullflop

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We'll see just how formidable Washington really is when it comes to being yet another in a long line of "prove it" games. I have no doubt that our defense will be challenged, just as it has been in most of our games previously. Fortunately, we have proven thus far that we're quite difficult to score against. I hope our 'bend but don't break' defense will again perform equal to the task. Granted, that won't be easy but it only takes one or two of the opposition's mistakes to thwart any given drive.

The Commanders main problem should be to match what our offense is likely to produce in a game whereby their offensive time of possession should be limited if all goes as predictably as it routinely has. Most of the "experts" have stated that they're expecting a high-scoring contest. I wouldn't be too surprised if they're correct. The Commanders will be challenged to stop Zeke from taking advantage of their weakness vs. the run. Good luck with that. :rolleyes:
 
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Stryker44

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Dream first play: Dallas gets the ball first. Touchback. 1st play the anger and fury of the defensive line emerges over the loss of the first game. They explode off the ball, knocking Frederick back into Elliott back into Prescott. They lay in the fetal position for a few moments while the defense dances around and looks straight at Linehan and Romo.
 
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