Players entering free agency will want to avoid injury. Players with fat contracts have some beach rentals scheduled for next week. Players know that the staff is gone and the new owners plan on cleaning house. The instances like the Texans beating a 4 win Indy team last year (with Sam Ehlinger at QB) are not exactly comparable to a 4 win Washington team playing an 11 win Dallas team with playoff seeding on the line. Dallas opened as a 13.5 point favorite. If you believe that the ghosts of Joe Gibbs, John Roggins, Art Monk, and Darrell Green (all of whom are actually alive I believe, but just disinterested in the franchise these days) are going to sit alongside the 20K or so Washington fans who feel obligated to get some value out of their wasted PSL expenses in this tough economy, then there’s easy money to be made betting on them to cover.
Personally I believe in the “it’s their last day of work this season and they are eyeing the clock” vs. “it’s their Super Bowl and they will be playing through a torn ACL to bring home the win.”
If Mike can’t squeeze a win out of week 18, he’s probably done.