Remind me again why he would leave UT.
Because college football is dying before our very eyes. The romance of that developmental football sector lies in loyalty to an alma mater, and it's now very quickly evolved into mercenary football. The "student" athlete has become a misnomer. It's going to change a little in the next year because the court decisions that will frame the game formerly known as "college football" will be coming, and it's widely suspected that there will be no alternative but to make every revenue sport athlete a legal employee of the schools they represent, with no requirement to actually be enrolled at the school (scholarship becoming a fringe benefit option), and signed to a contract according to guidelines brokered by a collective bargaining agreement. That's right. Your third string free safety will be carrying a union card just like the first string quarterback.
Granted, it takes a minute for the casual fan to understand what the hell is going on, so it will be a process of erosion in overall developmental interest, not all at once.
But that's started. It's happening right now. And it will be mitigated for UT, and the very highest upper crust programs who've never been that worried about NIL or portal or any of that in the first place... their main roster drain mainly being attributed to the pro leagues absorbing the best players eligible to be drafted. But for Boise State? For Ole Miss? For Florida State? For Michigan State? For USC? As you get past those programs in the list of FBS schools that are expected practically every year to be within some reach of the top 5, ie the top 15-ish programs... they're going to be impacted. This is going to be out-and-out minor league baseball, just with the wrapping of school colors and logos. It's going to be popular, but never again like it has been. The romance is being sucked out of the sector in front of our very eyes, as fewer and fewer show up to cheer for the
temporary unionized employees on services contracts. I cared when the players on the field shared with me a loyalty to my... nay,
our school... where I graduated, and where they intended to graduate and often did. That's going away in real time.
And with the advent of a larger playoff system, already we see interest in the bowl game system hitting a wall... and why not? Why do athletes whose highest ambition is to get into an NFL training camp and get their chance want to play in meaningless games that only subject them to possible career-altering injury? In turn, why do fans care that a mix of primarily 2nd and 3rd string temp/mercenary players for Georgia Tech are playing against some similar composition of players from Vandy in Birmingham on a cold winter night?
Circling back, you're right though, that's still no reason to leave UT necessarily. It's like, why would anyone not want to editor in chief of the Dallas Morning News...or Houston Chronicle... or Atlanta Constitution-Journal... sure, the newspaper industry has had significant upheaval, but for the upper crust, they're going to survive and stick around.
I guess what I'm suggesting is that as college football morphs into something more like minor league baseball, maybe the allure of being top dog in that domain isn't nearly as interesting and appealing as interest appreciably wanes overall. Maybe the way you make a name for yourself is decreasingly about being top dog in that domain. Maybe the way you make a name for yourself is increasingly about competing in the big league... any franchise, but especially the one in Dallas.