I understand but there’s several teams I can think of in recent history which built solid teams with top defenses good enough to have more success but without a Franchise caliber QB struggled to even make the playoffs .
Look at Houston. Great defenses , no QB. And they tried drafting them but until they hit were on the short stick. Jets have a solid team and top defense and they've tried to draft QB’s but without that Franchise Qb can’t make playoffs . Bills another in this category until they landed Allen. Im sure there is more.
Without a Franchise QB good enough to at least reach the playoffs most teams are stuck in the mud. The only team which has probably built that type of team without a Franchise QB is SF. But Jimmy G became a Franchise caliber QB and most likely Purdy will as well. Not Elite but enough with a better supporting cast.
And why that will most likely remain the priority in Cap era in which your Franchise QB is basically only top talent you afford to remain for their entire career. It’s why they are fetching Market Price above their actual deserving value because that value goes beyond winning championships . It creates stability and a consistent product teams can promote and hype to be a contender..
Fans on the other hand are willing to hit the bottom if it has the possible potential or opportunity to continue looking for the next Mahomes, etc . Franchises know thats not a likely scenario. And why they settle for less and hope for the best.
You're not wrong, but we can't ignore the flip side of the equation either. Of the top 10 QBs by AAV (Burrow, Lawrence, Goff, Herbert, Jackson, Hurts, Murray, Watson, Cousins, Mahomes) only 5 of them made the playoffs last season and one of those (Watson) barely played. I'm just not seeing a direct correlation between paying a QB and success. Now I think there is a direct correlation between paying a QB and the perception that you have a super bowl contender which may be even more important to some owners. This is why the Cowboys have been given the super bowl or bust label going back to Romo every year. It's why the the Bengals with 35 wins and 2 playoff appearances since Burrow entered the league is talked about as a serious contender every year, but not Pittsburgh who has 40 wins and 3 playoff appearances in that same time period.
You also from last season have the examples of guys like Jared Goff who was looked at as a JAG or at least on the decline once he went to Detroit. As they built up that roster hes viewed as a top 10ish QB again. Baker Mayfield couldn't find anyone who wanted him and settled for a $4M contract last season and won a playoff game. Joe Flacco came from off the street to get the Browns to the playoffs. Kenny Pickett had more wins that touchdown passes last year and made the playoffs.
Now to be fair the final 4 QBs in the conference championship games, 3 of them were on that top 10 paid list so maybe there is something to that???
Appreciate the conversation by the way. You make some very valid arguments, I just view it as there is more than one way to build a team in the modern version of the game.