Who will be the next RB, if any, to surpass Emmitt's 18355 yards?

Any back in todays NFL will be hard pressed to break that record. Teams are using a lot more change of pace back in offenses, and the way PI is being called now the WRs should have a better chance of getting open down the field.

With that said LDT, and Portis seemingly have the most realistic shot at even coming close.
 
You have to AVERAGE 1200 yds a season for FIFTEEN YEARS. OR average 1500 yds a season for 12 years. There is not a back playing today that will be able to do it.
 
burmafrd said:
You have to AVERAGE 1200 yds a season for FIFTEEN YEARS. OR average 1500 yds a season for 12 years. There is not a back playing today that will be able to do it.
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youve got to be joking... LT could do it... and id go as far out to say that CP could do it.
 
rdsknsbaby said:
youve got to be joking... LT could do it... and id go as far out to say that CP could do it.
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IIRC average lifespan of a RB in the NFL is 3 years. Sure these guys are averaging 1500 yards a year now, but what happens when they are in theit 10th year? Still average 1500? Unlikely....
 
can we put this discussion to an end, it will never happen

emmitt and his o-line were too good for too long

i guess i could see LT as the only one with a decent chance as far as talent, but i dont see SD being good enough for long enough to do it

as for clinton portis...bah humbug hes ovverrated and will break down far before he can get there

if i had to put my money on one player making it, cadillac williams would be my guy i think. hes got the talent and had a good start.
 
rdsknsbaby said:
youve got to be joking... LT could do it... and id go as far out to say that CP could do it.
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Sure, it's possible. The only 2 backs with a decent shot at it right now are LT and Portis. I doubt either can stay healthy for the next 8-9 seasons though.
 
big dog cowboy said:
LJ won't pass Emmitt. He is to much of a brusing back that likes to hit people. His career won't last long enough.
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Agree, he had a great year, let's tap the brakes on Johnson. Any RB with less than 5 years should not even be considered. Maybe even 7 years. Most backs don't even last 5. Also let them accumilate 12,000 yards first.

Too early to tell on any of these. People thought at one time, E .James, M. Faulk would run up these numbers, now you don't hear their names being mentioned. Martin, I don't think he has that much left in the tank but can be a very good RB still. Portis, let's tap the brakes just a little there, give hima few more years.

I think it will be many years for this to happen. There are several records I believe are safe for many years. Emmitt's yards, Any of Jerry Rices' TD, Catches, Yards records, and Emmitts rushing TD record is for a while, but I believe that gets broken before his yards. I'm not sure who is closest, but that one might be interesting.

I know quite a few people (all Texas Longhorn Homers) had Ricky Williams breaking all records, being the best of all time, and in Canton before he even stepped foot on the practice field.
 
KCCOWBOYSFAN said:
dont get all worked up but Portis really isnt gonna have a chance facing the THE DALLAS COWBOYS twice a year. He wont do to us what Emmitt did to the Skins. I think we all know that.
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:hammer:
 
it will be a SPHB32 model droid (solar-powered halfback) in the year 2042.

seriously, considering longevity issues, the way NFL rules erode pass defense (which detracts from the run), and the modern athlete (strong safeties who, when compared to football players of the 70s, weigh as much as a MLB, are as fast as a split end, and are tall enough to play the 2-guard in todays NBA)...

emmitt's successor is prolly wearin' kneepants - if he's even out there....

the pounding just isn't conducive to 13-year careers at RB.
 
tothewhipbill said:
it will be a SPHB32 model droid (solar-powered halfback) in the year 2042.

seriously, considering longevity issues, the way NFL rules erode pass defense (which detracts from the run), and the modern athlete (strong safeties who, when compared to football players of the 70s, weigh as much as a MLB, are as fast as a split end, and are tall enough to play the 2-guard in todays NBA)...

emmitt's successor is prolly wearin' kneepants - if he's even out there....

the pounding just isn't conducive to 13-year careers at RB.
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thats the thing i love, knowing some where some little kid is playing in a pop warner leauge and will eventually come to break Emmitt's Records and Marino's records and Everyone else's records
 
Clinton Portis is the only running back who is anywhere close to Emmitt's pace, and he's still 12,425 yards away -- more than Jim Brown's career total.

LaDainian Tomlinson is 1,595 yards behind what Emmitt had at the same age. He'll have to be MUCH better than he has been before he can be considered a potential threat to Emmitt's record.

Larry Johnson has NO SHOT, considering that he's already 26 and has just 2,416 career yards. Emmitt had more than that when he was just 22, and Emmitt was 6,540 yards ahead of Johnson's total when he was 26.

Curtis Martin is 2,086 yards behind what Emmitt had at the same age. He just turned 33 and is 4,252 yards away from the record. Nobody has ever come close to that after turning 33, and the only two guys to top 3,000 after age 33 had far fewer carries before turning 33. Every feature back has broken down long before they gained even 3,000 yards after age 33 -- and Martin broke down last year at age 32.

Other than Portis, no other back is even within 1,000 yards of what Emmitt had at the same age. And keep in mind that Emmitt was the first player ever to be a feature back for 14 seasons. So not only do those players have to pick up their pace by a significant margin, they also have to have the longevity that only Emmitt has ever had.
 
No one currently playing has a shot at it IMO. Curtis Martin was the closest but he isn't going to get the carries anymore that would have given him a chance.
 
Portis' style is too straight ahead. He doesn't have that elegance to avoid the big hit. He kind of just goes kamikaze style right into the defender. Its great for those 5-9 yard gains and it makes him a great runner today, but its not a style that does much for your longevity at the RB position.

I think the record is pretty safe for a longlong time.
 
All it would take for Portis or LT not to acheive it is a major knee injury. The game has changed too much and I do not see anyone especially a running back absorbing that much punishment and averageing above average stats. Portis and LT are more speed backs and any knee injury may effect their running style more then an Emmitt like running style. Emmitt wasn't fast, wasn't overly quick, he could just make you miss, but he didn't have what they would call homerun speed as you could see in the one game VS the giants. I guarantee you will not see anyone eclipse that record for at least 30 years. Not to mention no running back will run behind a line like emmitt's for as long as emmitt did in this day and age of FA.
 
summerisfunner said:
I don't think anyone is going to touch Emmitt's rushing TDs record
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I think Shaun Alexander has around 90 already after 6 years.

Emmitt has around 162-165.

He has the best chance and also has the same type of durability thus far.
 
aznhalf said:
Portis' style is too straight ahead. He doesn't have that elegance to avoid the big hit. He kind of just goes kamikaze style right into the defender. Its great for those 5-9 yard gains and it makes him a great runner today, but its not a style that does much for your longevity at the RB position.

I think the record is pretty safe for a longlong time.
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You think the Emmitt had a more elusive style ? Emmitt would slip tackles and exploit his holes (same as Portis tries to do). Difference is that Portis does have the game breaking speed, that makes alone makes him elusive.

Portis' best runs over his career are not through the DTs or LBs, but rather around them.
 
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