Who will be the next RB, if any, to surpass Emmitt's 18355 yards?

[Bob Sacamano]

Portis' best runs over his career are not through the DTs or LBs, but rather around them.

by cutbacks, I've never really seen him put a move on someone in the open field

 

[Bob Sacamano]

I think Shaun Alexander has around 90 already after 6 years.

Emmitt has around 162-165.

He has the best chance and also has the same type of durability thus far.

he's already 28, I think Emmitt got 142 when he was 30 or 31

 

[LittleBoyBlue]

Well I really dont think he put the record out of reach(I really wanted Emmitt20K) but he retired.

With that said I dont think any of these guys will break it. Its all about durability....... money....... love of the game.......

one of those 3 will keep these guys from breaking it.....

lack of the first
going after the second and cruising along(less heart)
not enough of that going around.... not 15+ years worth.....

I think we are seeing the last couple of long career guys here.... like Rice and Tim Brown....

 

[SkinsandTerps]

by cutbacks, I've never really seen him put a move on someone in the open field

Did you watch the Eagles game ? Portis has the movement. That is one of his best attributes.

And Emmitt had better movement ? I wouldnt go that far bro.

Emmitt was an elite RB, one of the best ever. But anyone would have to admit that he had an outstanding surrounding cast. Imagine if Dorsett had the same cast.

 

[cowboyeric8]

Julius Jones jk

 

[AdamJT13]

I think Shaun Alexander has around 90 already after 6 years.

Emmitt has around 162-165.

He has the best chance and also has the same type of durability thus far.

Alexander is 28 years old, and he has only 89 rushing TDs. At that age, Emmitt already had 112.

 

[Big Country]

Assuming a 13 year career like Emmitt, here's what they'd have to average for the remaining years up to 13 years. The number of years remaining is in parenthesis.

L. Johnson (10) - 1593
C. Martin (2) - 2127
L. Tomlinson (8) - 1374
C. Portis (9) - 1380
Rookies (13) - 1411

----

C-mart looks out of the race. The rest would have to pretty much finish their careers injury free.

I might have forgotten about Shaun Alexander... He's spent 6 seasons rushing the ball... but, the first season wasn't even 350 yards so that hurts the avg. right off... I think Ricky Watters was still the feature RB... Shaun would have to average---

(9 more years) 1170 yds season... 15 year career... not out of the realm of possibility due to Shaun always heading to the sideline to make plays and avoid the killer head on shot..
(8 more years) 1317 yds season... 14 year career... a little harder workload, but the last 5 years of his career, he averages 1500 yards per. Might scare Jerry Rice's total TD record if this was to continue.. Shaun has 100 of them already... last 5 seasons he averages 17 TD per.
(7 years) 1505 yds season... 13 year career... he'd have to be a playmaker every single year, depends on health completely.

 

[SkinsandTerps]

he's already 28, I think Emmitt got 142 when he was 30 or 31

Possibly. I honestly havent looked. I know that Alexander wasnt the starter in his rookie year and Smith was.

The guy is averaging about 15 (if my 90 number is about right) per season including his rookie year.

Puts him at about (at the same pace) 120 with 8 years under his belt at 30. He would be right there. And he had about 27 last season. Add the year on the end he didnt really take the pounding as a rookie and that puts him at 135. Its very possible.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Its very possible.

possible, but not likely IMO

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Did you watch the Eagles game ? Portis has the movement. That is one of his best attributes.

cutting back and hitting the hole is Portis' best attribute, he's carried it over from his Denver days, I'm not saying Emmitt was Barry in terms of moves, but watch some of his earlier game film, he had an uncanny ability to spin off a defender just as he was about to hit him

 

[SkinFaninOKC]

I voted for LT. Truth is he won't break Barry Sanders record. LT seems to break down during the season. LT is used alot. He will probably be wore down before he is 33 years old.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Truth is he won't break Barry Sanders record.

what NFL and what universe is this in?

 

[SkinFaninOKC]

what NFL and what universe is this in?

I was referring to LT not doing any better than 4th ALL TIME. It wasn't a shot at Emmitt.

 

[braw]

Did you watch the Eagles game ? Portis has the movement. That is one of his best attributes.

And Emmitt had better movement ? I wouldnt go that far bro.

Emmitt was an elite RB, one of the best ever. But anyone would have to admit that he had an outstanding surrounding cast. Imagine if Dorsett had the same cast.

Here we go again. Someone has to bring up Emmitt and his Oline was one and any back could have amassed that yardage with that line.

Smith attended Escambia High School in Pensacola, Florida where he amassed 8804 rushing yards and scored 106 touchdowns. He starred at the University of Florida, where he set 58 school records, including the single game rushing record in his very first start. He left Florida after his junior year with 3928 rushing yards and 36 touchdowns.

Now how I see it, thats 12,732 yards in 7 years before being a professional.

Tony Dorsett gained 12,739 yards in the pros after 12 years.

Now come on now We don't want to know how many yards Emmitt had as a pro in 14 years. Now about that Oline maybe Tony should have had Emmitt's high school and College Oline.

 

[Henson Domination]

Clinton Portis will not stay healthy long enough to break it. Carrying the ball at a rate of 350 times a year will wear him down (see Eddie George). By the time he's 30, he'll have so much wear and tear on his tires that the skins won't want to feature him and he'll be struggling to find a team wanting to take him on for the end of his career, especially with the way young backs pop up each year. Also, he's only played the full season in 2 of his 4 years and even though he played 16 games last year, he was hurt by the shoulder.

As for LT... let's say he puts up 1800 yards per year (insane number considering they will be developing a rookie QB and have defenses 8 in the box) for the next 3 years (he'll be 30 then). That would put him at about 12,700... he'd still need about 5,500 yards after that. He'd then have to put up 5 season of roughly 1,100 yards til he's 35... not likely.


Nobody in this day and age of the NFL will do it in the forseeable future, IMO.

 

[LittleBoyBlue]

Alexander is 28 years old, and he has only 89 rushing TDs. At that age, Emmitt already had 112.

Yeah lets just hope he doesnt have too many more of those FIVE TD games... sheesh!

 

[LittleBoyBlue]

Here we go again. Someone has to bring up Emmitt and his Oline was one and any back could have amassed that yardage with that line.

Smith attended Escambia High School in Pensacola, Florida where he amassed 8804 rushing yards and scored 106 touchdowns. He starred at the University of Florida, where he set 58 school records, including the single game rushing record in his very first start. He left Florida after his junior year with 3928 rushing yards and 36 touchdowns.

Now how I see it, thats 12,732 yards in 7 years before being a professional.

Tony Dorsett gained 12,739 yards in the pros after 12 years.

Now come on now We don't want to know how many yards Emmitt had as a pro in 14 years. Now about that Oline maybe Tony should have had Emmitt's high school and College Oline.

Applause! Applause! :clap2:

 

[Zippy Speedster]

It looks pretty much like a toss up between LT and Portis. Really all depends on who can stay healthy on which one even comes close - breaking it is a whole different ball of wax. And of those two I'd say it's the one whose team has the most success over the next decade, which as good a guess as any whom that will be. For some reason I want to say Portis is the guy who will do it. Now overall yardage (rush/rec) I'm almost willing to bet that LT will be the guy to go out with that record if he stays relatively injury free. And if LT wasn't such a reception back I would probably pick him hands down but, fact of the matter is those receptions, everyone, takes from his rushing totals. The most complete back, hands-down, is LT, though - and ironically even more so then Emmitt ever was but, I just dont' see him posting the rushing-only numbers to surpass the "great one". Portis will probably be that annoying "Commander" who will come very close. And atleast that last part about the "annoying Commander" will probably happen just because.

 

[aznhalf]

You think the Emmitt had a more elusive style ? Emmitt would slip tackles and exploit his holes (same as Portis tries to do). Difference is that Portis does have the game breaking speed, that makes alone makes him elusive.

Portis' best runs over his career are not through the DTs or LBs, but rather around them.

I'm talking about how they finish their runs. Portis just kind of barrells into the defender for the extra yards.He looks for a cutback and goes. Smith had a way of avoiding the big hit while falling it foward which is apparent from his lack of injuries..

 

[joseephuss]

Adrian Peterson won't come close to Emmitt's career numbers. Peterson has yet to stay healthy for a full college season. He runs very up right. I think Peterson will be a big force once he reaches the NFL. I just don't see him having a long career.


I think of any current players, Portis has the best shot. Ulitmately, I don't think he will end up with the record, but he has the best chance of any current running back.