DFWJC;5022945 said:
Me too...with some key additions and subtractions.
I think the 2011 team was better than the 2010 group that gave up,
and last years team was better than the 2011 group.
and if (always a big if) they do a somewhat decent job of filling a couple of holes (at least one starting olineman and and a saftey) and don't have armageddon-like injuries, the 2013 will be better than 2012.
The question always is will they do what seems obvious and do it well? Some dpeth and clean but low-level additions in FA and then they must have a respectable draft...we'll see.
You could certainly look at a team that was decimated by injury last year and use that alone as a justification for basically maintaining the status quo. You could say that about the defensive side of the ball as well as the offensive line. You could certainly argue that a healthy OL working together all of camp, a healthy defense, a simplified defense and new defensive coaching staff and a few draft picks/low level free agents should be enough to win you a couple of close games and get you into the playoffs.
I can definitely see that argument.
However, there are two sides to every coin. I'm probably taking a risk by being <gasp> pessimistic here, but there are downfalls to that approach and I'm not sure you are setting yourself up for success.
Even if healthy, maybe the OL still isn't any good. The two guards are castoffs and Costa was a guy most couldn't wait to boot after 2011. Now a little more than a game in 2012 have people thinking he's solid.
Maybe the guys you are counting on to take the next step either don't (Crawford/Parnell) or can't get healthy enough to (Johnson/Church). Maybe your guys that are always injured.....get injured (Lee, Carter, Austin, Murray). Maybe a team that has been built for the 3-4 for about 7 years really doesn't translate to a 4-3 as well as you thought.
You could also dig a little deeper and see that Dallas beat one playoff team last year (Bengals). You could see that a team that historically staggers to the end of a season before collapsing....staggered to the end of the season and collapsed. You could notice that a team that has had a middle of the road offense since 2007 had a middle of the road offense including a 31st ranked rushing offense. You might notice a team who, on multiple occasions, had to abandon their game plan and go no huddle once they were in a hole to generate a lot of their offense. At this point, it doesn't look like a lot of changes are in store for that offense.
This team needs to nail the draft (I feel like I've been saying that for several years). The pro personnel department did a good job of finding guys to play last year. They need to apply that to FA to find some vet bargains like the Pats have in the past. They might stand a chance of getting those missing couple of wins and getting into the playoffs. However, I still don't think they can do enough in one offseason to stack up with the upper echelon teams in the NFL.