Califan007;5095808 said:
A good coach will know how to better mask the deficiencies on your OL and safeties, though. How confident are you that Garrett has been (and will be) able to do both?
You mean like on offense being #10 in scoring adjusted per possession in the league with a bottom 5 OL? I call that a pretty impressive performance on the offensive side of the ball even though it was a bit disjointed. The biggest problem is Garrett wanted the run the ball too much and the OL couldn't do it. By the time we gave up on it we were usually down by a fair amount.
Now part of the reason we wanted to play ball control with the run game is because of how bad the defense turned out to be. I think we were bottom 5 in opponent passer rating allowed and were bottom 5 in INTS and TOs forced.
I know our fanbase isn't too bright but I laugh at all those who think the defense was anything but bottom 10 in the league.
The biggest and best change Garrett has made is to recognize the failure of the 3-4 defense which has mostly been below average despite having some very good talent. It is just flawed as implemented here by everyone - Zimmer, Brian Stewart, Wade and Rob Ryan. None of them used the scheme to its strength and constantly turned it into a weakness for us. The way we played most run downs we were weak up the middle because Rat couldn't hold everything up at NT and when they passed against the base defense we were usually dropping back one of our two best pass rushers into coverage. Furthermore the read and react 1-gap nature of the defense took some of the steam out of the rush. Add onto that that we never really seemed to deceive anyone but ourselves and I would say the whole scheme was a catastrophe. I am shocked Ryan got another job but a name will still get you a job in this league and he has one of the more famous ones.
I think the new defensive staff and the new defensive scheme is going to play better to the strengths of this team with our quick interior DL, fast DEs, excellent coverage LBs, tough CBs with press skills and young, athletic safeties. I fully expect some growing pains at the Safety and recognize that age and health along the DL are major concerns but this defense could definitely go from bottom 5 to top 10 in a year. Now add back in a better offense with a stronger and more experienced OL, more continuity in Callahan's scheme and the 1st round pick and we should be better up front. Add in a few more playmakers and Dez playing at an elite level the whole year and we could be really, really good next year. I really don't expect huge growing pains in the 12 formation since we have always used it a fair bit but more as a running offense to take advantage of Bennett and Witten's run blocking. Now we will be using it as a balanced offense. We are going to be more seasoned and cohesive in Callahan's version of the ZBS and should be able to keep defenses honest and guessing.
I think we have reached that critical point when everything is going to start clicking for a bunch of young players and no one will have seen it coming because of how methodically it was built up out of scraps, spare parts and judicious use of premium draft picks.
The key will be to maintain cap discipline and Jerry has got to learn to let go of his players or better yet trade some of the accomplished vets for a boatload of picks if possible. Once Jerry tasted the success in the past he just kept wanting to pay the vets instead of trying to find a new set of youngsters to knock the vets off their perch. This game is full of injuries and players who suddenly decline so outside of a small core you have to just keep churning and developing young and cheap players to put on the field to complement the core. Maybe Garrett has finally gotten through to Jerry about this but he has done this twice before so I'm worried he might just do it again. Luckily Garrett has a good head on his shoulders and wants sustained success year after year, not just a flash in the pan. That is the way he has rebuilt this team and I am very happy with the job he has done with the resources available.