KJJ;5016815 said:
Welker caught 67 passes for 687 yards his last season in Miami then the following year exploded for 112 catches and 1,175 yards in NE. You don't think Brady and the system had something to do with that? He went from an average team to a great team that has a HOF QB and head coach. Welker is not going to produce huge numbers on an average team that doesn't have great coaching or a Tom Brady.
With Dez's emergence and Jason Witten Romo's security blanket putting up over 100 catches last season there won't be enough balls to go around for Welker to produce enough to live up to the contract it would take to sign him. The Cowboys have far more pressing needs than to waste their money on an aging slot receiver who could be finished in a couple of years.
I don't want to sign the guy. Not interested in him at all. I like watching him play but I don't see the need to invest more into a position that has plenty of talent.
At the same time, I don't think looking at what he did as a 3rd year player with Daunte Culpepper and Joey Harrington as his QB is a very reasonable way to assess what he could do for your team.
The guy only started 3 games prior to getting to New England. Granted he had played in 30 during his 2nd and 3rd year but as a guy who went undrafted, got cut from his first team 1 week into his rookie season before being picked up solely as a return man and developing over the next couple years, I'm not sure what anyone would expect.
While his production did increase when he went from a horrible QB to a great QB, I'm not sure we wouldn't expect the same from other top WRs. Doubtful Dez has the season he had if he were playing in Jacksonville last year.
I think he's a very good WR and while I would expect that he wouldn't likely get 120 catches on almost all the other teams in the league, I think he would be a damn good player and still get a high number of receptions just about anywhere.
Just a quick look but he appears to obliterate every other WR in catches, YAC and 1st Down Receptions since 2007.
In terms of YAC, it's pretty impressive. Best YAC for WRs in 5 of those seasons, being the best overall in the NFL for 3. Only two seasons he was beaten out it was by Ray Rice and Brian Westbrook. The last season, he missed 11 games and still had the 4th best YAC amongst receivers and without a doubt would have been #1 again with those missed games because #1 is less than 90 yards ahead of him.
If Dallas had a need at WR, I wouldn't look at his time in Miami to determine what he can do for
this team. Dallas has a QB lightyears ahead of that 2006 Dolphins team and that pretty much makes all the difference. Of course the Brady factor is in play because Brady is unreal and perhaps more importantly those guys are on the same wavelength like Romo and Witten are but Welker is an excellent player.