I edited my orignial post because after reading it back, I thought it was too heavy handed as an FYI KJJ.
As I recall, you had little concerns with injuries and it is clear that Romo's health plays a major role in the development of his status, and the teams status, going forward. You will also remember that I said the decisions made on Romo, at the time, will not be felt tell later in his career. Well, it's not witching hour yet but it will be by next year. In short, we haven't reached the point in the contract where we know if it was a good decision or a bad one yet. This year will a long way towards deciding that. So far, we have been seeing the easy part of his contract. Starting this year, his contract is as follows:
2016 $20,835.00
2017 $24,700.00
2018 $25,200.00
2019 $23,700.00
Last year, we paid $14, 973, 00.00 to basically have a bunch of guys play QB for us that we could have signed for a fraction of what we paid Tony and we went 4-12. The Roosters have not yet come home to roost but that day is coming quickly. At the time, many claimed that we would be in a position to get out from under the contract in 2017 and I said that it was unlikely that we would. I said that Jerry would extend the contract to create cap space and it would, more then likely, end up being a situation where we were paying a player who was no longer playing. Well, it sure looks as if that's what's going to happen.
To me, the whole idea was wrong because it's too big of a gamble. Don't misunderstand, I like Tony and I always have as a person. I think he is a very talented QB but his window, IMO, closed two years ago. You look at where the team was at the time and you do the math. I could see that by the time our OL started to gel, he was going to be at a point in his career where injuries would play a factor. I said that then and I think it's proving to be true. The only way that the deal is worth the resources is if he wins a championship but with this Defense, that means serious cap issues going forward IMO. That means cap hell again, more then likely.
My opinion today has not changed from when we originally had these discussions. Many said Tony would play out his contract healthy and win a championship. That might happen but I doubt it. I believe you have to have a defense to do that and I just don't see it.
Parting with Romo did not necessarily mean that we would have had three straight losing seasons. You do realize, of course, that since Tony signed that contract, we have only had a winning season once right? Trading Tony would have likely resulted in draft picks and cap. We would have been in the market for any of the Free Agent QBs available since then or, would have been in a position to trade up for any of the QBs that have come out since. We would likely be at a point now where we had a young QB ready to be in his prime. In fact, I would imagine that had we traded Tony, we probably would have Carr right now as our Starter and been in much better shape long term. That would have meant that we still had a young OL and a good young QB to go along with it. Now, a lot of that is projection but it's really not all that unlikely if you think about it. Carr was a second round pick and we liked him. A trade would have brought plenty of room to trade up or just take him.
Had Romo played great, had he not gotten inured, had this happened or that happened, the situation would be different....... That's the problem with this entire deal. It's based on a lot of things going right and if you are objective about it, you know that it was very unlikely from the outset. Pretty much everything has to go right for it to work. How often does that really happen in life?
We don't agree about either of these issues, probably should have just stuck to "Agree to disagree" but we didn't so we can rehash the Romo thing again or, we can just save it till we actually see which view point ends up being correct. I'm good either way.