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Five teams that won't return to the playoffs
Around The NFL scribe Conor Orr went out on a limb this week to predict
five new teams that will earn playoff berths in 2015. Orr's crystal ball has the
Saints,
Bills,
Eagles,
Texans and
Falcons all mining their way into January play, but who will they replace?
According to NFL Media research, at least four new teams have made the playoffs every year since the NFL adopted the 12-team format back in 1990. Over the past 10 campaigns, that average has climbed to more than five teams per season.
We expect nothing different in 2015, especially with so many big names changing zip codes in free agency. The draft will alter the picture, too, but most teams have a basic idea of what their rosters will look like heading into training camp.
It's barely April, but let's do this thing:
1. Cincinnati Bengals: Four years running, NFL fans have been forced to endure an annual January stink bomb from the
Bengals. There's talent on this roster, but Cincinnati remains anchored to
Andy Dalton as a middle-of-the-pack quarterback whose ceiling was discovered autumns ago. With Pittsburgh growing more powerful on offense and Baltimore still a threat inside the dog-eat-dog AFC North, the
Bengals will pay for standing pat at the most important position in sports.
2. Dallas Cowboys: Everything clicked for Dallas last season, pounding away at opponents with
DeMarco Murray behind the league's grittiest offensive line. Murray is gone -- to Philly, of all places -- leaving the
Cowboys to talk up a declining
Darren McFadden as a secret weapon. We still see the 'Boys as a dark horse to trade for
Adrian Peterson, but reality suggests the team will be forced to lean on a rookie runner. Dallas -- no fluke last season -- will compete into December, but Chip Kelly's revamped
Eagles will own the last laugh.
3. Carolina Panthers: Coming off a 7-8-1 campaign, the
Panthers have more work to do than any of last year's NFC playoff teams. Bouncing them has more to do with the
Saints, though, who certainly don't feel like a team ready to give up on their
Super Bowl dreams. Unlike Orr, I don't see two teams coming out of the South, and New Orleans offers the better quarterback and a dangerous combination of runners in
Mark Ingram and
C.J. Spiller. The
Falcons are also bound to be better, making Carolina an outlier for the playoffs.
4. Detroit Lions: Green Bay remains the best team in the division and possibly the entire conference. Meanwhile, Detroit lost their top difference-maker on defense in
Ndamukong Suh along with
Nick Fairley. We're not calling for the
Lionsto tumble off a cliff -- not with
Matthew Stafford throwing to
Calvin Johnsonand
Golden Tate -- but in the past four seasons with Stafford under center, Detroit has won 10, four, seven and 11 games. They'll pivot back to earth in 2015, leaving the door open for another conference heavy to nab a wild-card spot.
5. Denver Broncos: Denver's fortunes hinge entirely on what version of
Peyton Manning we get come September. There's also the question of how he fits into Gary Kubiak's boot-heavy scheme minus pass-catching tight end
Julius Thomas. While we don't expect the
Broncos to force Manning into an attack that doesn't make the most of his gifts, changing up the regime midway through Peyton's
Super Bowl-or-bust run in Denver was risky. It's a hunch, but the
Broncos feel snakebit.
FIVE NEW TEAMS GOING TO PLAYOFFS
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