I mean, the most simple way to dispute this is to point out the obvious. The Coach of the Year doesn't always have the most wins.
I'm guessing because more thought goes into it than that.
Here's a question. Would Nick Sirianni be 10-1 if he lost his starting QB for 5 weeks?
We don't know. That's the point!
You don't award the Coach of the Year by what you don't know (the "ifs" and "buts"), but what you do know.
And what we
DO know is ...
1. Sirianni led his team to a 9-8 record last year with a playoff appearance
2. He has led his team to a 10-1 record (the best record this year) currently.
Secondly, no, the Coach of the Year does not always have the best record. But the Coach of the Year generally has improved his team's position from one year to the next. And wins are definitely factored into the equation.
Trivia quiz: Who was the last Coach of the Year winner with a team that had a losing record?
Answer? Jimmy Johnson in 1990. Johnson's team had a 7-9 record. But do you know WHY he won?
Because his team showed the most improvement from one year (1-15) to the next. And the team almost clinched a playoff berth on the last week of the season.
Be that as it may, because Johnson showed his coaching ability with a team that previously won one game and improved significantly the next year, he won the award. Hence, wins have as much to do with it as anything. That's the most tangible way to measure improvement.
You look at the COTY winners and you're looking at 12 wins, 15 wins, 13 wins, 11, wins, 16 wins, 10 wins. Yes,
WINS do matter in the equation. And Sirianni has the most so far.