Yes, very plausibly. Do you remember who was MVP front runner in week 13? Look at this:
https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/s...3-futures-betting-odds-super-bowl-mvp-afc-nfc
NFL Most Valuable Player
Thats odd. Why did that happen? Jalen was having what this board seems to feel was a bad year. How does a bad QB become the entire league’s MVP? Because in that moment, two things were happening: no QB was having a statistical season to distance themselves, and the Philadelphia Eagles were 11-2; the best team in football.
Would you say Lamar Jackson had a better statistical year than Dak? I don’t think that’s true, and I don’t think Baltimore fans even think that’s true. You could even make a roundabout argument that Goff’s or Stroud’s statlines contended with Lamar’s. 4000+ yards passing, league leading interception %? Stroud was awesome. But Lamar won MVP because he was consistent all year while leading the best team in football.
Now did You know that the 10-7 Pittsburgh Steelers swept the 13-4 Baltimore Ravens last year? Thats kind of interesting. But what the Steelers didn’t do was beat the Arizona Cardinals when Mitch Trubisky was applying to be unemployed. Trubisky also got clapped by the Colts. Trubisky lost 21-18 to the Patriots and 20-10 to the Jaguars.
No, Kenny Pickett was not going to get any MVP votes if he started 17 games, but the Pittsburgh Steelers were 9-3 in games he started. They were flat out a better team with him on the field. And they lost a lot of games to notably inferiors teams without him. They could have won a few of those had he played, and if they finish 13-4, they win the division due to the previous Ravens tie-breaker mentioned.
If Lamar Jackson is leading a wild card team, then yes I absolutely believe it’s plausible Kenny Pickett could have significantly impacted the MVP race had he been healthy. Dak, Purdy and McCaffrey would have gotten a lot more votes if Baltimore wasn’t even the best team in their division, let alone the league.