If there ever was a year to have a crazy, out of nowhere Super Bowl win with a rookie QB, this is it.
Nobody in the NFC looks unbeatable. The Seahawks are insanely inconsistent and just lost the best player on the Legion of Boom. The NFC South looks like a great big nothingburger, and the Giants look mediocre at everything and JPP might need surgery. Green Bay is dead and nobody trusts the Lions.
The Patriots look great on paper, but just lost Brady's #1 weapon, and look suspect on defense whenever they aren't playing a total scrub at QB, which has been pretty much all year. This isn't the 2014 Super Bowl team, which had a healthy Gronk and a much more talented defense and was just sort of good at every damn thing.
The Raiders have a flashy offense and a horrible, awful, no-good defense outside of Mack. Like #30 in total defense we're talking here.
The Steelers, Ravens, and Broncos have all backslid. Nobody trusts the Chiefs because Alex "Tiny Hands, Noodle Arms" Smith is their QB.