But my point is not getting targets doesn't mean Jarwin hasn't been consistent, it means the team hasn't been consistent in targeting Jarwin. As for whether he can make the routine play, again, his catch % is very good, and many not all the plays were routine, so I don't see why we would doubt he can make the routine plays. As for why Dak isn't targeting him more, unfortunately we are left to speculate on that. It could be he is having difficulty getting open sometimes, and it could be that he just hasn't been a focus in game planning. If one assumes it is the latter, sure I wouldn't have a problem with a few more plays focused on him. I'm not talking about a dramatic increase, just something like instead of 1-2 targets a game, maybe 2-3 or 3-4. I think how he has been able to turn upfield and get good yardage after the catch suggests he does deserve it. But i'm also aware that he has the advantage of being the forgotten man, and that helps him get open against opposing defenses. If we were to use him as the #1 TE defenses would game plan more for him.
so where does Jarwin fall in the pecking order of targets? we can easily say coop, gallup and cobb are primary receiving targets. then its witten, jarwin, pollard, zeke in some form or fashion....we also hear that pollard is not being used enough in passing game and that we are not throwing screens to the RB as much as we did in the past, and there is only one ball to go around. we get about 25 pass plays per game. so given about 20% goes to TEs, then that's about 7 targets per game....we are probably arguing over a 1 or 2 extra targets per game here or there......
the fact is that witten despite everything is still a better blocker than jarwin, and given about half the plays are run plays and we run a lot of 3 WR sets, then no room for running two TEs consistently and not want to put jarwin in to do run blocking at this time. so probably why witten is getting more snaps.....I am looking for breakdown of pass plays, with witten, jarwin and both in the game.
with that said, we have run more two TE sets than we have in the past (or it seems like it). so jarwin is getting in the game about 200+ snaps in the season about 20+ snaps per game.....lets say about ha3/4 of of those are pass plays, given 20% of them go to TEs (based on this year spread of targets) that's about 3 pass plays that Jarwin is in the game and TEs being targeted and in 10 games he has been targeted 22 times, that's about 2 per game.....
does he deserve more snaps? perhaps.... but again where is he in the pecking order of receiving targets...he maybe better than witten according to many (questionable in some areas, better in other areas). how many more snaps. you can't certainly feed everyone.....and he is not a Zach ertz, Kelce or among the top TEs in the league.
...with that said, my point is that he is not consistent, in the manner that he may not be getting open consistently, thus not targeted......he has been in 200+ snaps.. assuming he is in on pass plays mostly since he is not a blocking TE, then about 150+ snaps....he has been targeted 22 times...why not more? why is he not more consistently getting open? I don't think Dak makes discrimination one way or the other. he hits the open receiver when he sees them and when he can.
and my argument would be if he moved to #1 TE and teams game planned for him, then he will be very ineffective...he is getting matched up against lesser defenders and he needs to take advantage....going up against top LBs and safeties, he will probably struggle. ...I think he is being used effectively. could we target him a few more times...perhaps. but he is not and should not be the focus of our game plan
and don't forget, we are nitpicking here...we are #1 offense. #1 passing offense. #4 scoring....why are we arguing about Jarwin!!! the 4th guy in the pecking order at best....probably the 6th guy is where he belongs.