I could not be more convinced...

peplaw06

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StarMan;1864409 said:
Sure no problem, they only hung 48 on us in our house en route to beating us by 21. And don't give me they aren't playing as well now because we aren't either.
And we should have had at least 38 on them. Trust me, if we protect the ball and don't make dumb penalties, we can win. And I already acknowledged tha fact that we didn't play well in Dec. But we've played better than them IMO.
 

khiladi

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2much2soon;1864431 said:
Face it man, the Pats are getting everyone's A+ game. The Pats are bringing their C/B- game, coming from behind and still winning..


The Patriots were playing for history here, and to think they weren't bringing their A game is just ludicrous. They were celebrating this victory like they won the Super Bowl.

The fact is the Patriots are not as good as the hype. That is why the games are so close. They need the the help of the referees to win the games.
 

peplaw06

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2much2soon;1864431 said:
Face it man, the Pats are getting everyone's A+ game. The Pats are bringing their C/B- game, coming from behind and still winning.
You could say the same thing for us.
Ask Rodney "cheap shot" Harrison how gimpy Jacobs was when Jacobs kept abusing him. It was getting so bad I think Harrison closed his eyes and dove at him one time, hoping he'd miss him (and he did).
Thats the perfect example of what the Pats get nearly every week; guys, even if they are injured, playing maxed out to try to beat them.
Jacobs did next to nothing on the ground. He got out in the open a couple of times on screens and dump offs, but he was ineffective when he was handed the rock. And we know the Pats have been less than stellar against the run lately.
I agree on the benefits of the outcome. I didn't want to see the gints with any momentum. And I think the pressure of continuing to win will eventually wear out the Pats before the playoffs and SB are over.
I think they're already getting worn down. That's why they could easily lose in the playoffs. They need a bye week that's for sure.

The other thing about the Jags for everyone else high on them. The Pats do seem pretty good at taking away what you're best at. And there's no doubt the Jags are best at running it. Can Garrard beat them? I'm not so sure. But I'm pretty sure Addai and Peyton could.
 

AdamJT13

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Football Outsiders simulated (using their weighted DVOA stats) the rest of the season and the playoffs 10,000 times, and the team that is the most likely to make it to the Super Bowl is ... the Dallas Cowboys.

That's right, they say we have a better chance of making it to the Super Bowl (a 48.6 percent chance) than the Patriots (45.2 percent), because they will have tougher teams to beat to get there. They say there's a 30.7 percent chance that the Patriots won't even win a playoff game.

However, the Pats do have a better chance of winning the Super Bowl (29.1 percent) than we do (21.9 percent).

Here's what they have as the playoff odds --

Code:
[b]NFC CHAMPION[/b]
Dallas		48.6 percent
Green Bay	24.1
Tampa Bay	12.1
Seattle 	8.8
Washington	2.1
N.Y. Giants	1.8
Minnesota	1.7
New Orleans	0.4


[b]AFC CHAMPION[/b]
New England	45.2 percent
Indianapolis	24.4
Jacksonville	11.8
San Diego	9.6
Pittsburgh	5.2
Cleveland	3.1
Tennessee	0.3


[b]SUPER BOWL CHAMPION[/b]
New England	29.1 percent
Dallas 		21.9
Indianapolis	12.9
Green Bay	9.5
Jacksonville	6.9
San Diego	5.3
Tampa Bay	5.0
Seattle		3.4
Pittsburgh	2.3
Cleveland	1.3
Minnesota	0.6
Washington	0.5
N.Y. Giants	0.4
New Orleans	0.1
Tennessee 	0.1
[b]All AFC		57.9
All NFC		41.4[/b]


[b]CHANCES OF WINNING IN SUPER BOWL APPEARANCE[/b]
New England	64.4 percent
Jacksonville	58.5
San Diego	55.2
Indianapolis	52.9
Dallas 		45.1
Pittsburgh	44.2
Cleveland	41.9
Tampa Bay	41.3
Green Bay	39.4
Seattle		38.6
Minnesota	35.3
Tennessee 	33.3
New Orleans	25.0
Washington	23.8
N.Y. Giants	22.2
 

khiladi

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peplaw06;1864446 said:
You could say the same thing for us.
Jacobs did next to nothing on the ground. He got out in the open a couple of times on screens and dump offs, but he was ineffective when he was handed the rock. And we know the Pats have been less than stellar against the run lately.

Not true. On the drive where Manning hit the TE in the end-zone, it was Jacobs who systematically ran the ball to move the team downfield. The 4th quarter, when the Patriots were down two scores, the Giants didn't go the Jacobs at all. Those drives ended in 3 and outs, if I remember correctly.
 

The Panch

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peplaw06;1864446 said:
The other thing about the Jags for everyone else high on them. The Pats do seem pretty good at taking away what you're best at. And there's no doubt the Jags are best at running it. Can Garrard beat them? I'm not so sure. But I'm pretty sure Addai and Peyton could.
They made A.J. Feeley look like a starter, Kyle look like a "Pro Boller" and Eli look like Peyton. What do you think??
 

peplaw06

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khiladi;1864457 said:
Not true. On the drive where Manning hit the TE in the end-zone, it was Jacobs who systematically ran the ball to move the team downfield. The 4th quarter, when the Patriots were down two scores, the Giants didn't go the Jacobs at all. Those drives ended in 3 and outs, if I remember correctly.
One drive? Big whoop. Jacobs finished with 67 yards. And he was shut down for the most part. Maroney had a few good runs too, but finished with 40+, think that was effective?

The Panch;1864461 said:
They made A.J. Feeley look like a starter, Kyle look like a "Pro Boller" and Eli look like Peyton. What do you think??
Feeley had Westbrook, Boller had McGahee stuffing it down their throats, and Eli played a damn good game I thought, probably his best of the year (at least top 3). If the Jags are gonna have a shot, it's going to have to be in bad conditions IMO. I don't know if Garrard and those WRs will be able to get it done in bad weather. But I'd love it if they did.
 

The Panch

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Did you see the Philly game? Westbrook wasnt much of a factor and Feeley was squeezing in tough passes under pressure.
 

windward

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peplaw06;1864471 said:
One drive? Big whoop. Jacobs finished with 67 yards. And he was shut down for the most part. Maroney had a few good runs too, but finished with 40+, think that was effective?


Feeley had Westbrook, Boller had McGahee stuffing it down their throats, and Eli played a damn good game I thought, probably his best of the year (at least top 3). If the Jags are gonna have a shot, it's going to have to be in bad conditions IMO. I don't know if Garrard and those WRs will be able to get it done in bad weather. But I'd love it if they did.
I think his game against us in Week 1 was his best, but this was close.
 

khiladi

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One drive? Big whoop. Jacobs finished with 67 yards. And he was shut down for the most part. Maroney had a few good runs too, but finished with 40+, think that was effective?

And that was the drive he was given the ball consistently. He wasn't shut-down more so, they didn't use him enough. I'm not saying Jacobs is great. Jacobs was effective when he ran the ball systematically, but that says more about the Pats defense to me than Jacobs as a runner.
 

peplaw06

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The Panch;1864475 said:
Did you see the Philly game? Westbrook wasnt much of a factor and Feeley was squeezing in tough passes under pressure.
Westbrook was a factor the way he always is. Around 25 touches around 100 yards and a TD. Feeley played well but he also had 3 picks.

I'm just not convinced Garrard can carry the Jags against the Pats in bad weather. Just an opinion... don't like it, go cry to mommy.
 

peplaw06

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khiladi;1864501 said:
And that was the drive he was given the ball consistently. He wasn't shut-down more so, they didn't use him enough. I'm not saying Jacobs is great. Jacobs was effective when he ran the ball systematically, but that says more about the Pats defense to me than Jacobs as a runner.
One drive does not = effective. Sorry, it just doesn't. How many yards did he have on that one drive... I think it was like 2-3 long carries... as opposed to the rest of the game? I know at half he had like 7 carries for 7 yards.

He had 15 carries for 67 yards. He looked very much hampered in the first half. He had a good RAC on the TD catch, but when he was handed the ball in the 1st half, he had 7 yards.

Their first drive of the second half he had 3 carries for 4, 16, and 15 yards. So aside from those two carries, he had 13 for 36 yards. You're right, very effective.
 

LittleBoyBlue

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peplaw06;1864367 said:
I could not be more convinced... than I am right


There's a shocker :rolleyes: :p:


Anyways... I agree with you... I thought so right after we played them.
 
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