Based on ability and stats he is absolutely having a Hall of Fame career. Based on team accomplishments like wins/postseason wins, he is not. Based on perception, which in his case is not reality IMO, he is not a Hall of Famer. If he wins a SB before his career is over, he should make it. If he finishes his career with some playoff wins and continues to put up HoF #s, as he has throughout his career, he has a legit chance IMO. If he continues to play at the very high level he has throughout his career (top 5 all-time QB rating most of his career), his overall numbers will put him in the HoF conversation like other QBs without hardware (Moon, Fouts, etc).