Jason Campbell

zrinkill

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SkinsHokieFan;2159089 said:
And seriously, these stats aren't even close. In particular when Moss played your secondary and Crayton played ours. Crayton only had one game over 100 yards, against the woeful Rams, and only one other game over 70 yards

Crayton combined for 4 catches, and 24 yards :lmao:

While moss had 17 catches, 2 TDs and 236 yards

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=5741

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=2564

Sorry dude, I'll take my number 1.5 over your number 4 any day


That is the saddest case of Cherry Picking I have seen.

Facts remain that your "number one receiver" is only marginally better than Crayton.


Wow ..... I had not noticed that he more than Doubled Moss's TD's

Sad sad sad
 

SkinsHokieFan

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zrinkill;2159107 said:
That is the saddest case of Cherry Picking I have seen.

Facts remain that your "number one receiver" is only marginally better than Crayton.

For the last time, its "number 1.5," come on get it right dude

And actually quite a bit better, both last year and career wise, despite Crayton being older

61 catches to 50 catches is 19 percent more catches

And 808 yards to 697 is 14 percent better

Now had it been 81 catches to 70 catches, you may have a point. But Crayton is a mediocre number 4 WR, whose last 8 games were worse then his first 8 games, while Moss picked it up in the final 8 games of last season (when he was healthy) for 37 catches and 511 yards (which for you my math challenged friend is on pace for 74 catches and 1022 yards)

And head to head its not even close, one guy dominates while the other guy dissapears

Come again with the marginal stuff....
 

zrinkill

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SkinsHokieFan;2159108 said:
Come again with the marginal stuff....

More than doubled his TD's

And I just think its sad that you have to try so hard to say your best receiver is better than freakin Crayton.


:lmao2:

We have been trying to replace Crayton for years ...... and your best is only an average of 16 percent better but with less than double the scores

:lmao:
 

SkinsHokieFan

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zrinkill;2159119 said:
More than doubled his TD's

And I just think its sad that you have to try so hard to say your best receiver is better than freakin Crayton.

:lmao:

Actually, I haven't. The numbers have :)

Of course, if TDs are the sole judge of pass catchers, Mike Sellars is one of the most dominant ever

You are just too dense to see it
 

zrinkill

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SkinsHokieFan;2159128 said:
You are just too dense to see it

Ahhhh ...... must have hit some nerves on the troll


Watch you wanna argue about now? If our 3rd string TE Tony Curtis is better than Cooley?

:lmao:
 

Bob Sacamano

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SkinsHokieFan;2159089 said:
And seriously, these stats aren't even close. In particular when Moss played your secondary and Crayton played ours. Crayton only had one game over 100 yards, against the woeful Rams, and only one other game over 70 yards

My favorite stats are the head to head matchups:
Crayton combined for 4 catches, and 24 yards :lmao:

While moss had 17 catches, 2 TDs and 236 yards

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=5741

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=2564





Sorry dude, I'll take my number 1.5 over your number 4 any day

it's sad when you have to compare your top receiving threat to our 3rd receiving threat

yours is the group that didn't have a TD pass to a WR for 7 weeks, ouch
 

Bob Sacamano

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SkinsHokieFan;2159128 said:
Actually, I haven't. The numbers have :)

Of course, if TDs are the sole judge of pass catchers, Mike Sellars is one of the most dominant ever

You are just too dense to see it

that's a little hypocritical coming from a Commander fan

seeing how that argument always comes up in any Cooley/Witten debate
 

random Cs

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You know you Cowboys have had a top 5 passing offense for the last two seasons. (yards and touchdowns) The Skins' hasn't been so great and Santana had a poor year last season.

Crayton will continue to produce for you guys. That doesn't mean I think he's a particularly strong #2 personally.
 

burmafrd

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NO one here thinks Crayton is a #2 of any kind. He is strictly a #3 that got pressed into service last year. And realistically it was Witten who was our #2 anyway.
 

silverbear

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Skinsmaniac;2157982 said:
That's backwards - we don't have an option to replace him because we are being patient with him.

You say to-may-to
I say to-mah-to
Let's call the whole thing off...

:D

It's obvious that we aren't going to agree on this because I like the potential I have seen from Campbell, and potential is hard to quantify.

Living in the Shenandoah Valley, with my Skins fan nephew, I have seen virtually every snap Jason has ever taken... and what I've seen squares with the stats... the guy is capable of streaks of pretty good play, but cannot sustain it... he also has a depressing tendency (depressing if you're a Skins fan) to come up small in the clutch...

But hey, if you wanna fool yourself, go right ahead... I had my Jason Campbell moment with Quincy Carter, I SWORE I saw some Steve McNair in him... sometimes homerism overrules your good judgement...
 

DallasDW00ds0n

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Bob Sacamano;2159258 said:
that's a little hypocritical coming from a Commander fan

seeing how that argument always comes up in any Cooley/Witten debate
EXACTLY!

thats how skins fans debate.
 

DallasDW00ds0n

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Bob Sacamano;2159200 said:
it's sad when you have to compare your top receiving threat to our 3rd receiving threat

yours is the group that didn't have a TD pass to a WR for 7 weeks, ouch

Yeah Im not sure if he noticed that part.

Hey lets compare T.O. to Moss?

Anyone? ...... Anyone?
 

silverbear

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Sonny#9;2157988 said:
Well, at least you're not comparing him to Quincy Carter.

Actually, I do compare him to Quincy, and the comparison is quite valid... the two put up very similar numbers in their first 20 games as a starter, and both had a problem with the mental side of the game, both had a problem with accuracy (touch) on the short stuff...

The big difference is that Quincy was the better scrambler, and was a stoner...

4-0 win streak? For someone that is so objective and love numbers so much How bout this one: Collins beat the 11th, 13th, 22nd and 32nd pass defenses, while playing in the same system for 10 years. Not to mention the team got healthy and the line began to jell after some early season injuries. But I am sure those don't factor into it at all.

You've got an excuse for EVERYTHING, don't you??

That's what you get from homers, I reckon... Todd Collins went 4-0 with the same team that Jason Campbell went 5-7 with... the team "getting healthy" and the line "jelling" does not explain this discrepancy...

Consider that in 12 plus games as a starter, Campbell had all of four TD passes to his WRs, and in 3 plus games as the starter, Collins had three TD passes to his WRs... if you know anything about football, that ought to tell you that Jason was not utilizing his wide receivers properly...


As for the 0-10. Yes that's bad. But a deeper look into the numbers, are you going to tell me this game is Campbell's fault:

LOL... I point out that he's gone 0-10, and you defend him by saying in TWO of those games, it really wasn't his fault... of course, that means that the other 8 games WERE his fault, doesn't it??

Now, let's look a bit more closely at the two games you cite:


Guess you forgot about Jason fumbling the ball away with 2 and half minutes left to go in that one... there was a second fumble, that the stats keepers decided to blame on Casey Rabach... LOL...

In the last two possession of that game, with the game on the line, Campbell went 3 for 8, f0r 14 yards, with 1 sack and 1 fumble... yeah, I'd say he played a BIG role in that defeat... he threw the ball 34 times in that game, and only racked up 215 yards, a 6.3 average, which is substandard...


OK, the Skins lost this one, 17-14... and in the last three possessions of that game, with the game on the line, here are Campbell's numbers:

6 of 9, 39 yards, 0 TDs, 0 ints... the Skins ran 14 plays, and gained a total of 20 yards... Jason was sacked twice, and fumbled once (which he recovered)...

He had a chance to win the game, and did nothing... he also threw the ball 37 times, and only gained 217 yards... that's a 5.9 yards per attempt average, which is not good... and of his 21 completions in that game, only FOUR of them were to his WRs, which tells us that he was dumping the ball off a lot...

So even in those two games you cite, Campbell had a chance to put the team on his shoulders and carry them to victory (the way Tony Romo has already done several times), and he failed... in "crunch time" in those two games, he went 9 of 17 for 53 yards, with no TDs and no ints... he was sacked three times, and was part of three fumbles...

If that's the "potential" you see in Jason Campbell, you're welcome to it... the guy has consistently come up small in the clutch in his first 20 starts in the NFL... hell, the Skins have only averaged 191.6 net yards passing per game in his starts; they won't win much in the NFL with those kinds of numbers... that would only have ranked the Skins 23rd in the NFL last year (and was 65 yards less than the Cowboys averaged)...

Here's another stat for you: at this point in his career he has better numbers then both Matt Hasslebeck and Drew Brees. Both of those QBs are pretty good.

Hasselbeck after his first 20 starts-- 373/631, 4192 yards, 19 TDs, 15 ints... 59.1% completion percentage, 6.6 yards per attempt, 209.6 yards per game, 79.1 quarterback rating...

Campbell after his first 20 starts-- 360/624, 3997 yards, 22 TDs, 15 ints... 57.7% completion percentage, 6.4 yards per attempt, 199.9 yards per game, 77.3 quarterback rating...

Yeah, Jason had better numbers than Matt did... except for completion percentage, yards per attempt, yards per game and quarterback rating... LOL...

Now, his numbers WERE better than Brees' were, but your argument is still specious, because players do not progress at the same rate... the more TALENTED you are, the more you're likely to progress... so even if Campbell WAS better than those two at the same early stage of their respective careers (which I've demonstrated was not the case), it doesn't logically follow that he's as good as those two...

My point is he's improving.

Is he?? His quarterback rating was only marginally better in 07 than it was in 08 (77.6 to 76.5, a statistically negligible difference), while his TDs to ints ratio went down... he also lost 8 fumbles in 13 games in 07, compared to ZERO in 7 games in 06...

I'd suggest that the improvement you think you're seeing is mostly in your imagination, because it's certainly not reflected in his numbers...

And to cherry pick stats that don't include the whole picture is hardly objective.

Those stats are a whole lot more than YOU bring to the argument... and they stand completely unrebutted at this point... oh, you TRIED to rebut them (by pointing out two games out of the ten where Campbell threw for 30 times, but in your opinion was not responsible for losing the game), but the attempt was comically feeble...

Bottom line, Jason Campbell has NEVER led his team from behind to victory, and that's the measuring stick for how good a QB is... that alone ought to suggest to you that the guy's not nearly as good as you're frantically trying to convince yourself he is...

Get back to me when he's led a few come-from-behind victories, when he's take the team up on his shoulders and carried them home... until then, I am singularly unimpressed with Jason Campbell...

I suspect anybody who really knows anything about football, and has seen the guy play more than a handful of times (and is not a raging Skins homer) would agree with my assessment of him...
 

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silverbear;2159618 said:
the guy is capable of streaks of pretty good play, but cannot sustain it...
I'd agree with that. Of course the fact that he hasn't sustained it is why we are talking about potential. A QB who sustains good play is a good QB period. So, I'm not sure what your definition of a QB with potential would be... I think that Campbell was getting more confident in Saunders offense as the season progressed. Four out of his last five games were pretty good.

silverbear;2159618 said:
he also has a depressing tendency (depressing if you're a Skins fan) to come up small in the clutch
This to me is true right up until the moment it's not. He came up short against Dallas. He came up short against GB. Both were games where Commanders fans were frustrated but confident about the future. Both Mannings were for years labeled as chokers. Romo is too. But all it takes is a couple big wins for that to change, and I believe experience is what pushes a QB to the next level. That's why Skins fans preach patience with Campbell. If he plays the next two seasons and puts up mediocre numbers (like say 60% completion rate, 1.3td/1int, and 6.5-7.5 yards per attempt), I'd re-sign him in a heartbeat, just because there are so few great QBs, it's silly to give up on one making (slow) progress to start all over again with unproven talent.
 

silverbear

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FCBarca;2158009 said:
Far cry from the original reaction to posting on how overrated or terrible Campbell was...Now we're on to how is he good?...Like I said, last season everyone piled on in here as to how bad Campbell is and he very nearly led them to victory...I said it before the game and I'll continue to say it until he bombs out completely...He is good and he has potential to even be better.

Yeah, that's the opinion you've expressed a coupla times now... so where's something factual to back it up??

Are we supposed to just accept your opinion as gospel??

I don't prance around with rose colored shades, I call it like I see it and I see a good QB in Campbell who is getting better...

Getting BETTER?? Oh yeah, he just made a quantum leap forward, all of 1 point in quarterback rating... and offsetting that is EIGHT fumbles lost, compared to zero the year before??

He is NOT "getting better", at most he's spinning his wheels...

Career passing ratings on a team with little to no help in terms of WRs,

And yet, Todd Collins was able to get a LOT more out of those WRs when he took over the reins to the offense... even though his offensive line was falling apart due to injury...

Given time, he has shown leadership,

To me, "leadership" means taking the team on your shoulders in a close ball game, and in 20 games so far, Jason has NEVER done that... he's 0-10 in games in which he throws the ball 30 times or more...

How can you be a "leader", if you don't produce in the clutch?? I repeat, you seem to be seeing things that just aren't there (and I've seen at least 95 per cent of the snaps Jason has ever taken in the NFL)...

I like both his tangibles and intangibles.[/qutoe]

Even though his "intangibles" also include fumbling the ball away in the 4th quarter pretty often??

Stats are great for fantasy leagues and for 'rankings', I look at how a player looks on the field which never shows up in stats...

I look at BOTH, and like I said, I've probably seen the guy play more than you have... and what I've seen on the field is reflected in that stats sheet that you so cavalierly dismiss...

And for all the stats, he still very nearly beat this Cowboy team in Texas stadium...No small feat

Actually, he's probably the biggest reason the Skins LOST that game... this is EXACTLY what I mean about your warped perception; in the Skins' last two drives of that game, with a chance to win the game, Campbell went 3 for 10, for 31 yards, with a critical interception deep in Dallas' territory... the Cowboys even gave them the ball on their own 40 to start the first drive, and Jason STILL couldn't cash it in...

He had a number of chances to win that game for them, and he BLEW it... but you look in the newspaper, and see that he threw for 354 yards, and think "man, he must have played GREAT"...

It's not tough to throw for 350 if you pass the ball more than 50 times... but that only serves to reinforce my point, each and every time the Skins have "opened up" for Campbell, he's rewarded them with a LOSS... that's 10 times now, with no W's to show for it...

Comparing him to Quincy?...Apples & Oranges...One lousy black QB doesn't make another, pretty simplistic

There's more to the comparison than that, and you know it... at least, if you DON'T know it, then you don't know enough about the subject to comment...

Both Quincy and Jason came into the league with a rep for having trouble dealing with the mental side of the game, specifically it took them longer than it should to learn a new system... and both of them were wildly inaccurate in the short passing game...

They also put up pretty similar numbers... comparing Jason Campbell to Quincy is completely legitimate, in fact it's a rather astute comparison... the only real difference is that Quincy was a little more mobile, and a little fonder of the chronic... LOL...


So, to sum up, it seems that the only thing you have to offer when I ask you why you say Jason Campbell is good, and going to get better, is your subjective OPINION... you don't seem to be able to bring anything factual to convince me that you're right...

Excuse me if I'm not impressed with this particular opinion of yours, because my eyes and the stats sheet both tell me you're woefully wrong on this one...
 

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Sonny#9;2158014 said:
Anyone that compares Campbell to Quincy Carter is purely ignorant.

Anybody who DOESN'T see the similarities needs to stop playing the ostrich...
 

silverbear

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Sonny#9;2158094 said:
Carter was out of the league a year later -- and don't tell me it was b/c of the drug charges.

It was ENTIRELY because of the drug charges... training camp had already started, Quincy was firmly entrenched as the starter, having just put up the fifth most productive season by a QB in Cowboys' history, and leading his team to the playoffs...

If he hadn't flunked that drug test, he would have remained the starter...

I'll make a bet with anyone here who wants to take it. Injuries aside -- if Campbell is out of the league next year for performance issues, I will never post again here. The Mods can ban me. If not, you leave. Banned. Any takers?

Who here said that Campbell is a druggie?? You're making up stuff to argue about now, the comparisons between Jason and Quincy were never intended to include the off the field stuff, those comparisons were strictly limited to the on the field issues... you know, like the inability to quickly learn a new system, the inaccuracy in the short passing game, the scrambling ability (Quincy was a little better in that area, but Campbell ain't half bad at eluding a rush either)...
 

silverbear

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Skinsmaniac;2158158 said:
I agree, my point was not to say that Campbell is as good as Aikman - just that when evaluating potential you have to look past the stats.

Actually, if you know how to use the stats properly, you can do a REAL good job of analyzing a player's ability...

For example, if you dig deeper into the stats, and look at the pass distribution numbers for the Skins, you can easily figure out why Campbell had such a good TDs to ints ratio in his rookie year, followed by a markedly worse ratio in his second campaign... you see, in the first year, the Skins had Jason firmly under wraps, just about the only thing he did was throw the short stuff... they wouldn't let him take chances, fearing that he'd make rookie mistakes, so they basically turned him into a Bill Parcells-esque "bus driver"...

Which made sense on one level, you don't want a young QB's mistakes costing your team games... but if you're trying to groom a QB for the future, you HAVE to let him take chances, let him make his rookie mistakes... they apparently figured that out last offseason, and let him take his shots downfield more often... this led to many more mistakes, but it was a good plan for the long haul... those mistakes are part of most any QB's learning curve, even the good ones...

IOW, though the turnover stats seem to show a regression on Jason's part in 07, an analyst skilled in the use of stats has the knowledge and ability to look into WHY that might be happening, by checking out the pass distribution stats, the number of completions of 20 yards or more, the number of completions of 40 yards or more... the experienced stats analyst knows that a QB with a high completion percentage often means a QB who dumps the ball off a lot, while a QB with a low completion percentage often means a QB who takes his shots downfield with some regularity... so he goes to look at the other stats I mentioned above to see if that's the case...

Just because YOU lack the requisite knowledge to use a stats sheet to analyze play, it doesn't logically follow that those stats cannot be used in that way... indeed, over the years I've found that the ones who are quickest to dismiss the stats sheet are the ones who don't have the first clue how to properly utilize one...

The key, I think, is to understand that all the stats kind of correlate with each other, and to figure out how the correlations work...
 
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