I am talking entire history. The Mavs had an 11 win team then drafted 4th. When 4th was like a 1% probability.
They have basically never emerged from the lottery with a win versus expectation. EVER.
They got Dirk at peanuts because the league hated Euros back then.
But they have had really crap luck with just the Lotto itself.
They built up through Finley, Dirk, Nash. Guys not coveted as top 3 picks.
The last top 3 picks who hit were Mark Aguirre back in the 80s then Jason Kidd whom they eventually traded for Nash.
That's in their entire existence.
The last 2 drafts have been great because they outdrafted slot.
DSJ fell too far coming off injury and Luke should have gone 2nd at worst.
But again they paid a premium to move up for Luka after a full year long tanking they admitted publicly to the point Cuban was fined.
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AFAIK the Mavs have had top-six odds only six times since the NBA lottery was implemented in ‘85. Here’s how it went for them:
‘91 - 6th worst record, 6th pick
‘92 - 3rd worst record, 4th pick
‘93 - worst record, 4th pick
‘94 - worst record, 2nd pick
‘98 - 6th worst record, 6th pick
'18 - 4th worst record; 5th pick
So 6 bottom 6 finishes and a total of -6 picks in Lotto luck.