Fair enough. It's not the predictions that blow me away, per se. It's that guys like Pessimist Cowboy (not to single you out Pessimist, but you are, well, a pessimist) who argue all year about how bad the team is turn our to expect an outcome that's exactly the same as the outcome I'd predict. The Natural? 10-6. Ultimategamer? 11-5. There were years here where I'd argue for 11 months with posters like bbgun about whether or not the organization was a disaster. The coach a moron, our FA signings were foolish. Our QB was lacking something. Then at prediction time? We're both sitting there guessing 10-6.
This isn't a knock, or a plea for consistency between predictions and posting style, or anything like that. I just think it's really interesting. I actually like it, a lot, because it's the one time of the year you get to sort of remember that we're all hopeful Cowboys fans, after all, and that it's not just posting-to-validate-an agenda. Then the losses start, and everybody's an idiot again.
So there could be no possible rationale for someone looking at the team, understanding the deficiencies in the running game, come to the conclusion Romo will have to provide that running game with his arm, which means the defenses then prepare for that and this team again goes 8-8?
You say it is pessimism.
But you tend to like to give the positive vibes a chance to flourish, so how is it a fan can look, add the positives and negatives of this team and come away with another .500 ball club without fitting your pessimistic role?
I don't call it a level approach, or whatever label is put on it by those people who yearly project a turnaround and this is the year and project play-offs and 10+ wins.
The rational approach. The balanced approach. The logical approach. What ever is used to get quantify the teams strengths and weaknesses. However you choose to address it.
I merely look at each squad - just like the tomes writers that come here just before the season and break down the team for us - and judge, in my opinion, what I expect from them with the additions, subtractions, age, and level of play in the past.
I then tally up the score and comment on the team as a whole.
If it is a score - meaning my opinion - that sees this team being a tough task for other teams during the season, I project a winning record.
If not, then I project the opposite.
There is no aforethought of pessimism or optimism heading in.
But off season moves do dictate the additions to the team and how I believe they will fare.
So how can you call someone a pessimist when the grade could go the other way if the team made the right moves?
And in that gem is where I find people who hang the tag of pessimist on others to be rather small minded.