Prescott's 15+ yard targets when tied or trailing

[percyhoward]

Prescott and Brady finished the season tied as the highest-rated passers on throws of 15+ yards in the air. Contrary to what you might think, it had little to do with having the lead most of the time -- at least in Dak's case. In a comparison of the 32 QB with the most attempts of 15+ yards in the air when tied or trailing in the game, these were the top passers:

 

[RJ_MacReady]

Paging fire marshal EROD.

 

[DallasCowboys2080]

cue the "anything to discredit DAKers" in 10,9,8,7,6,5......

 

[JJHLH1]

Dak seems to be excellent throwing a deep ball but he doesn't do it that frequently because he evidently places a higher priority on ball protection. I'm looking forward to watching him in the playoffs.

 

[gmoney112]

Boom.

Matt's rating may be a little lower, that INT hurt him there, but his numbers are just ridonkulous. 18.9 yards per attempt at a 60% completion rate. Geez man

 

[Trouty]

Boom.

Matt's rating may be a little lower, that INT hurt him there, but his numbers are just ridonkulous. 18.9 yards per attempt at a 60% completion rate. Geez man

His offense compares to The Greatest Show on Turf. It's absurd. I don't like Ryan, I think he's a choker, but he's had an MVP season. Even during Rodger's "Run the Table" run, his (Ryan's) numbers are better. What a hell of a season. Too bad for him, his defense will be their demise, as is the case (historically) when Hotlanta makes the playoffs.

I think we'd beat Atlanta. Much more confident against them than GB or NY (NY just gives me PTSD).

Edit -- look at those yards from Cousins! Dude chucks the ball. Lol. Also, most of those yards from Stafford are pre-hand injury.

 

[plymkr]

Prescott and Brady finished the season tied as the highest-rated passers on throws of 15+ yards in the air. Contrary to what you might think, it had little to do with having the lead most of the time -- at least in Dak's case. In a comparison of the 32 QB with the most attempts of 15+ yards in the air when tied or trailing in the game, these were the top passers:

And how is he not being considered an MVP candidate but Matt Ryan and Tom Brady is? Makes me mad. But anyway, deal with it NFL, he's a Cowboy.

 

[Trouty]

And how is he not being considered an MVP candidate but Matt Ryan and Tom Brady is? Makes me mad. But anyway, deal with it NFL, he's a Cowboy.

Sadly, Plymkr, Ryan had a historically great season. He's a shoe-in for MVP*

*If the voters get it right, and avoid another legacy award for The Golden Boy (Aaron Rodgers)

 

[The Realist]

An unbiased person, with no agenda would look at the overwhelming amount of evidence that tells us how amazing Dak's season has been and conclude that maybe he's just really, really good.

The statistics are dumbfounding, especially considering he's a rookie, bottom of 4th, comp pick QB.

 

[Clove]

Dak seems to be excellent throwing a deep ball but he doesn't do it that frequently because he evidently places a higher priority on ball protection. I'm looking forward to watching him in the playoffs.

Throwing the ball deep is cute. Moving the ball down the field methodically has been the key to 13-3. But when he actually throws it down field, he's VERY dangerous.

 

[Toruk_Makto]

Prescott and Brady finished the season tied as the highest-rated passers on throws of 15+ yards in the air. Contrary to what you might think, it had little to do with having the lead most of the time -- at least in Dak's case. In a comparison of the 32 QB with the most attempts of 15+ yards in the air when tied or trailing in the game, these were the top passers:

Weren't long passes usually described as 20+ yards in the air? This year is the first that I recall using the 15+ yard cutoff.

 

[bayeslife]

Weren't long passes usually described as 20+ yards in the air? This year is the first that I recall using the 15+ yard cutoff.

But I don't think percy is even using the term long passes.

 

[percyhoward]

Weren't long passes usually described as 20+ yards in the air? This year is the first that I recall using the 15+ yard cutoff.

PFR calls anything 15+ yards a "deep throw," and unfortunately they're the only ones who let you combine splits like "target distance" with "scoring margin."

 

[Dodger12]

I'm not sure how to read the qualifier "when tied or trailing." Is that when he attempts more downfield passes? But I do know we're trying very hard to show the Dak has a downfield game and I just don't think we do it very often to take advantage of our running game. But either way, it really doesn't matter. If Dak's game is more conservative short to intermediate throws and he's accurate and can move the chains, I'll take it when it leads to victory, Especially with a solid running game.

 

[T-RO]

Throwing the ball deep is cute. Moving the ball down the field methodically has been the key to 13-3. But when he actually throws it down field, he's VERY dangerous.

Cute? If you can't make big plays you won't win consistently. You can't overcome 3rd and 18 after a penalty. And throwing the ball deep is necessary to stretch defenses vertically so they can't suffocate the line of scrimmage.

Throwing the ball deep rocks.

Now...if you can *also* work the field methodically then you have a devastating attack. With Dak and our weapons can do a bit of both. If we had a better deep threat we could be other-worldly. (You and I agree on a certain WR from Washington.)

 

[Gameover]

Dak seems to be excellent throwing a deep ball but he doesn't do it that frequently because he evidently places a higher priority on ball protection. I'm looking forward to watching him in the playoffs.

He's still young , if he becomes a perennial stud you will see him let it loose more often

Erod.... 17:42https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LCTNr7D9Sy0

 

[percyhoward]

But I don't think percy is even using the term long passes.

Right, I wouldn't call 15 yards "deep," but most people don't realize just how few passes are thrown even that far. PFR has to make the cutoff somewhere, and even at 15 yards, that still leaves 82.2% of all passes classified as "short" passes.

 

[Clove]

Cute? If you can't make big plays you won't win consistently. You can't overcome 3rd and 18 after a penalty. And throwing the ball deep is necessary to stretch defenses vertically so they can't suffocate the line of scrimmage.

Throwing the ball deep rocks.

Now...if you can *also* work the field methodically then you have a devastating attack. With Dak and our weapons can do a bit of both. If we had a better deep threat we could be other-worldly. (You and I agree on a certain WR from Washington.)

Why not, let's let the rock fly. 2nd and long, third and long, turn the ball over. Shorten the game, keep our defense out there to get exposed. Lets just play right into the hands of the big time spread offenses.

 

[Toruk_Makto]

Right, I wouldn't call 15 yards "deep," but most people don't realize just how few passes are thrown even that far. PFR has to make the cutoff somewhere, and even at 15 yards, that still leaves 82.2% of all passes classified as "short" passes.

Just something I was noticing in the perennial argument about Dak not "throwing deep." And i'd see stuff about 15 yard completions. Those aren't the type of throws that move safeties back from the line.

But we are all at the mercy of the data available.

 

[percyhoward]

I'm not sure how to read the qualifier "when tied or trailing." Is that when he attempts more downfield passes?

Yes, but he (along with Brady) also leads the NFL on 15+ yard passes no matter the score. Brady's just much, much better when the Pats have the lead. And in general, teams with a lead have a 104.3 passer rating on these throws, while teams without a lead have a 76.6 rating.