Speculating on Tony Romo's trade value **merged**

[Redball Express]

Let's face it, something’s got to give when it comes to the Cowboys’ QB situation. Romo is due to make a lot of money, and probably still thinks - maybe rightfully so - that he has a lot left in the tank, but can you really picture him as this team’s starting QB another 3-4 years?

At this point, with the way Dak Prescott is playing, that just seems like a flat out impossibility. You can’t sit this kid that long. He’s ready now.

So a decision must be made. If I'm being completely honest, it's hard to envision a scenario where both Romo and Prescott are on this team next year. I don't think we can happily keep both beyond this season, and in situations like this across the sports landscape, 99.9% of the time, organization’s will go with the young guy.

Hypothetically speaking, what do you think are some interesting trade scenarios for Romo, and what could we get for him?

It’s hard to find a comparison for a 37-year-old, still elite (when healthy) QB being available on the trade market.

Carson Palmer in 2011, coming off a knee injury and early retirement, fetched a first and second rounder from the Raiders, and he hadn’t had nearly the career success up to that point that Romo has. But then again, that was the Raiders, a group notorious around that time for making poor front office decisions across the board. I don’t know if there’s any front office in the league desperate enough to make a deal like that now and besides, Palmer was a lot younger at that point than Romo is now.

Here are some situations that stick out to me.


Denver - They’ve proven they can win it all with below average QB play, but let’s say they get knocked out early this year and it’s all because of poor QB play. Siemian isn’t a long-term answer, and maybe they want to trade for a vet to bridge the gap a couple of years until Lynch is fully ready. Elway is too shrewd to overpay for Romo though.

New York Jets - Big city, bright lights, pretty good team but so much uncertainty at QB. You can make a lot of headlines in that city with Tony Romo at QB.

Los Angeles Rams - Would really depend how much they believe in Goff. Big city, Rams are back, they want to make waves. What better way to make a splash in Hollywood than trotting out Tony Romo as your QB for a couple of years?

Arizona - Arians is the QB whisperer. Palmer is the same age as Romo, and has done great for the Cardinals, but he’s struggled in the biggest moments, and injuries are certainly an issue (which may make them hesitant to go after Romo), but if they feel like he can get them over the hump, this is the perfect “contender needing one last piece” situation.
Kansas City - Very good football team with very mediocre QB play. Andy Reid seems so married to Alex Smith that it’s hard to imagine this move being made, but Romo might take them from very good to elite.

Miami - They’re paying Tannehill a lot of money, but this is an organization that is constantly trying to sell tickets and stay relevant. If they have to sit through another mediocre season from Tannehill, I could see them making this move to buy some time until they find their QB of the future.

I estimate a bag of magic beans and a slap on the butt.

What team would trade for a $20mil/yr player..

who can't stay on the field?

Maybe in your Fantasy League.

 

[KJJ]

There's really no way for you to guarantee anything re: his trade value, so why try? Who saw the Colts spitting out a first rounder for Trent Richardson, for crying out loud? You never know what teams are going to do.

If we do trade Tony, the closes analogy I can think of is probably when the 49ers traded Montana to the Chiefs. He was about Tony's age at that point, and I don't remember the exact deal but it was more than one player/pick and combined for a first rounder, I think, when it was said and done. Throw in some conditions to escalate/deascalate the value and they'd probably find somebody willing to take a reasonable chance. He's a hell of a player at the most important position in football.

If a trade is made for Romo, I "guarantee" it won't be for a first round pick. As for Trent Richardson he was 24 years old and healthy when the Colts made that trade. He was a top 5 pick just 2 years earlier who looked pretty good for Cleveland as a rookie. Many around the NFL at the time thought it was foolish for them to trade him. You keep bringing up 20 something players but we're talking about a 36 year old Romo who's out with a broken back and hasn't played a full season since 2012. You can't be serious bringing up the trade KC made for Montana as a comparison.

Montana was a 4 time SB winning QB, Romo has only won a couple of playoff games. Montana wasn't missing games every season with an assortment of injuries. Young played well during his absence from an injury so SF so an opportunity to trade him. Although he was 37 he fully recovered from his injury and his value was high due to what he had accomplished over his career. It's Romo's age and the assortment of injuries primarily to his back that will scare teams off.

 

[KJJ]

I can't wait

If you named 12 teams it will make it very easy to eliminate several of them so stay tuned!

 

[Doomsay]

If Romo ends up being healthy and playing well this season, we wouldn't trade him. If not, nobody would offer anything for him.

 

[Idgit]

If a trade is made for Romo, I "guarantee" it won't be for a first round pick. As for Trent Richardson he was 23 years old and healthy when the Colts made that trade. He was a top 5 pick just 2 years earlier who looked pretty good for Cleveland as a rookie. Many around the NFL at the time thought it was foolish for them to trade him. You keep bringing up 20 something players but we're talking about a 36 year old Romo who's out with a broken back and hasn't played a full season since 2012. You can't be serious bringing up the trade KC made for Montana as a comparison.

Montana was a 4 time SB winning QB, Romo has only won a couple of playoff games. Montana wasn't missing games every season with an assortment of injuries. Young played well during his absence from an injury so SF so an opportunity to trade him. Although he was 37 his value was high due to what he had accomplished over his career. It's Romo's age and the assortment of injuries primarily to his back that will scare teams off.

I heard you say you would guarantee it. I know you think you can guarantee that. I'm just saying your guarantee is worthless because it isn't based on anything and you have no control over or unique insight into the factors you're trying to guarantee.

I brought up Trent Richards not because his age was in any way relevant to my point, obviously, but because he was an example of a truly unexpected trade for a first round pick that *nobody* saw coming. The fact that many (most) thought it was foolish at the time supports my point, and not yours. Sometimes, teams take big risks for perceived upside.

I am completely serious bringing up the Montana comparison. QBs don't win Superbowls, btw, they play in them. And teams need good QB play to compete for them at all. I don't overweigh Tony's collarbone breaks the way you clearly are, but agree that the chronic back problem is an issue. Tony's a unique player, though, in a league starved for QBs. There's no perfect analog for what he's worth at this point, but it's not a stretch to believe that there's probably a fairly large variance in how teams might perceive his worth. Just like there is here in this thread.

The thing about the NFL, though, is it only takes one team for me to be right, whereas it takes 31 for you to be right. Guaranty, or no.

 

[Gabe]

Some folks in the national media say Jerry has already moved on from Tony Romo. Of course he can't just come right out and say it, but it would be baffling to me if the Cowboys bench a young improving QB with an ALREADY top notch efficient offense... For a washed up injury prone Qb who has never won anything. Again, that would be mind blowing.

Now if Dak throws 9 INTs the next 3 games with zero TDS and 3 losses... I say let Romo have another chance and let Dak learn more from him.

 

[tyke1doe]

Assuming such a trade is even possible, it's highly unlikely we would get two No.1's for a 36 year-old, perpetually injured quarterback.

Why, the team that traded for him would have to have a stellar offensive line.

Wait. That be us.

Nevermind.

 

[tyke1doe]

Some folks in the national media say Jerry has already moved on from Tony Romo. Of course he can't just come right out and say it, but it would be baffling to me if the Cowboys bench a young improving QB with an ALREADY top notch efficient offense... For a washed up injury prone Qb who has never won anything. Again, that would be mind blowing.

That, my friend, would be called "Stirring the pot." The national media are trying to drive the agenda and laying the foundation for future controversy.

Cowboys + Controversy = Ratings!!!

Cha-ching!!!!

 

[Idgit]

Some folks in the national media say Jerry has already moved on from Tony Romo. Of course he can't just come right out and say it, but it would be baffling to me if the Cowboys bench a young improving QB with an ALREADY top notch efficient offense... For a washed up injury prone Qb who has never won anything. Again, that would be mind blowing.

Now if Dak throws 9 INTs the next 3 games with zero TDS and 3 losses... I say let Romo have another chance and let Dak learn more from him.

Who's saying Jerry Jones has moved on from Tony Romo?

 

[TwoCentPlain]

For some reason, Chicago likes to collect ex-Cowboys. And Cutler is good as gone after this year, or maybe sooner.

 

[CATCH17]

He would be 37 years old and coming off several injuries with a gigantic contract.

3rd at best for a team like the Cardinals, Broncos, or someone like that.

If he was 33 or 34 then we can probably get a 1st.

 

[85Cowboy85]

If he shows he can play this year, you could definitely get something for him. Consider what Bradford got. Contract is not going to be prohibitive, he would get a lot more money then what's currently on his contract if you made him a free agent right now.

The question is does he have a no trade clause.

 

[StarMan2112]

Jerry wouldn't trade Romo for three first round picks. And I'm not kidding.

 

[DakotaReign]

WAS, CHI, SF, ARI, MIA, NYJ, CLE are a few that would be interested and that is before any injuries

If the cowboys get more than a first round pick im calling it a heist.

 

[ElGatoGrande]

His playing and the next injury determines the move..

Yup, if Romo is healthy and takes the offense to another level we'll be wanting him to stay,,, that would be a perfect situation for Dak to learn and a perfect backup QB situation for Romo (finally). Time to shore up those holes in defense and make a run.

 

[slick325]

Who's saying Jerry Jones has moved on from Tony Romo?

Don't eat the cheese Idgit!!! Don't take the bait!

 

[Chuck 54]

Unless we play him and prove he's healthy, can take a hit, and is still effective, he has zero value.

Right now you couldn't get a sixth round pick for him. You have to play him.

 

[DandyDon52]

They wont trade tony till they are sure they want to go with Dak, and they wont be sure unless they let dak keep playing,
and he keeps winning.
This is a good reason to stay with dak if he is winning, ride it and see where it goes, then you can decide what to do.

Tony is a viable qb many teams might want, and his contract is not a problem, and I think they could just cover themselves
with a clause about injurys.
Tony might have a better chance at a SB with another team with good defense.
Ware moved on and got a ring, I imagine he is glad he went to denver.

But no trades till next year, and it all depends on how dak plays the next few games.
If Tony can see the writing on the wall, he might be smarter to not play this year, because if he comes back
and gets hurt that will hurt his chances more than not playing.

 

[DandyDon52]

Unless we play him and prove he's healthy, can take a hit, and is still effective, he has zero value.

Right now you couldn't get a sixth round pick for him. You have to play him.

that is the wrong move, Dallas is horrible at picking up late blitzers, and that is what gets tony hurt every time.
If I was tony I wouldnt play this year and would want a trade.
Tony has more value than you might think. Any contract he does can have clauses to cover injurys.
It is a gamble with any player.
The Jets would be a SB contender with Tony.

 

[haleyrules]

Unless we play him and prove he's healthy, can take a hit, and is still effective, he has zero value.

Right now you couldn't get a sixth round pick for him. You have to play him.

Agreed. The problem with playing a QB that is 36 going on 50 with a history of serious injuries...it is probable that he will get injured especially with Romo's style.