I thought we just need the Eagles to lose and we need to win our game, or am I missing something?
If that’s the case, how is it just a 2% chance?
If the Eagles, Cowboys and 49ers all finish with a 13-4 record, San Fran gets the No. 1 seed because they will have an edge on us in inter-conference wins (Dallas will have three loses to NFC teams, the Niners two losses). Both Dallas and San Francisco will have the same amount of division wins (both with 5-1). So inter-conference will be the tie breaker because the two teams didn't meet in the regular season.
Two percent chance might consider the fact that the Niners play the Cardinals their last game, the Niners are at home and the Cardinals starting quarterback is not playing, and the Cardinals have nothing to play for.
This is my understanding.