Hey thats a valid point. But even though they hit or miss on picks, they're still making millions based off of the things they know to look for in a player. They can't predict if a player will get lazy because they're all of a sudden rich and not hungry anymore.
Nobody can see that on film.
But if there's an opening for a GM or scout position, who do you think is more qualified to get the job??? The guy with GM and scouting experience, or the forklift driver at home who claims he knows more about evaluating football talent than people who are paid millions to do it for many years????
Exactly.....
They don't make millions for their unbelievable football knowledge. They make millions because:
1. The NFL makes billions.
2. That's that's just the going rate for people in COO-like positions in large companies in the US, who typically work 80+ hours per week.
3. They do a LOT more than just manage the scouting staff and decide on the final player to take. They represent their teams at league functions, negotiate contracts, hire and manage coaching staffs, oversee the PR teams, and generally operate with the head coach as the public face of the team. (That's why Jerry won't hire one.) They are semi-celebrities, which comes with a cost in privacy and constant public criticism.
4. There are 22 million people in the US who are millionaires. It's not an uncommon amount of money.
5. Most of them fail miserably. You think Mike Mayock knew what he was doing? Teams go through them like underwear, so if they were so good at it, why do they get fired so often and so quickly.
Talent evaluation does take a ton of time, especially beyond the second-round, to gather information. But it's not magic as much as it's grunt work, and in the end, it's largely just a guessing game.