What’s easier to find?
A Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, Herbert, Stroud, Love, Lawrence, or Lamar?
Or
Tom Brady
Brady is right now the ultimate outlier. The GOAT that everyone passed over multiple times.
Russell Wilson is currently the only active QB to win a Super Bowl and not be drafted in the 1st round.
We have Dak. The Cowboys would have to make NFL history at the point to win a Super Bowl with Dak.
Dak is a 4th rounder, over 30, entering his 9th season on the team that drafted him, all while taking up the majority of the cap. He would have to be the 1st QB in NFL history to win a Super Bowl with all that baggage attached. He would become the ultimate outlier. The outlier of all outliers.
So I ask. Why are some so horrified of drafting a QB high and moving on? The chances that we hit on that QB are astronomically higher than Dak ever leading the Cowboys to a Super Bowl victory. There’s 1st round QB hits almost every year, but there’s never been a QB win anything with Daks baggage.
if jerry was smart, and he is not. we would draft a QB every 3,4 years in the first 3 rounds. either to give yourself options, such as walking away from a QB, or develop them and trade them as some do and if they don't work out, you continue to keep the pipeline warm. we can't draft a QB in the first round every year, given all the other needs, but we shouldn't shun away from it if one is there and is rated high. I wouldn't draft a QB in the first round, just for the sake of drafting, if they are not rated highly.
with that said Burrow (1st over all pick), allen (7th pick), herbert (6th pick), strout (2nd over all pic), lawrence (1st over all pick) were all top 5 and no less than 7th (they dropped in QB heavy drafts). you have to suck really bad to get there. those teams sucked before they drafted top 10. at 12-5, we would have a tough time getting one of these guys.
Mahomes wasn't rated high prior to draft and expectations were for him to drop in the draft to bottom of the first round as he was considered a system QB. except Andy reid knew better. he is generational talent. hard to come buy.
Lamar is one exception. despite everything, he has yet to make the superbowl. has had really strong teams around him. his playoff record is 2-4. he benefits a lot from the team around him. and great coaching.
Love is the other exception and he sat behind Rodgers for years. he showed some this year, but the key is continued success. Dak had success his first year starting (rookie). lets see how he does in the next couple of years.