Thunderstruck;1442320 said:
Look who he's behind. He's playing behind the best RB in this era of the NFL. That doesn't change the fact that someone's going to make him a feature-back, and soon.
And yet you're stating that he's already a feature back. He's not and never has been one to this point. I'm not holding the fact that he's behind LT against him, but I don't think you can state something so absolute when he hasn't proved he can do it, yet. He's a proven backup, not a feature back.
Larry Johnson was a backup when Priest Holmes was still good. I watch LJ twice a year and more than that since the Chiefs are a divisional rival. LJ has nothing over MT physically.
But it took an injury to Holmes for LJ to get his shot to show he could be the lead dog. A team didn't have to trade him or offer him a big contract. KC just played him when Holmes couldn't go. So if he could've left after that year, he would've at least had some film to show he could be the lead dog.
I remember Hambrick from the "who's going to replace Emmitt" era of the Boys. Hambrick didn't have MT's top-end or his power. Hambrick was much more of an upright runner than MT is...Turner's a bull who has the ability to get leverage and break a ton of tackles, and then shift gears once he gets into the secondary.
Just to clarify, I'm not comparing Hambrick talent to Turner's. I'm comparing situations. You've got a backup who has excelled in that role. And now his current team who's expecting to lose him in a season, wants another team to come off TWO high picks or a single high draft pick for him. Not likely.
Michael Turner is more physically gifted than Emmitt. He's bigger, faster, and stronger. He won't be as elusive as Emmitt was, and of course the big question is will he be as durable. That's a question that can't be answered until he gets his shot.
More physically gifted than Emmitt?
Yeah, he's bigger, faster, and stronger as a
backup. You said it yourself, he hasn't proven it as the lead dog, so you can't know how he'd do as the lead dog until he get his shot.
I can understand that. There's always risk involved. If you draft a top-10 RB you're getting a guy who's going to command big money with no track-record of success in the NFL. Yet teams do it anyway. Why does everyone think MT would be an ultra-risky investment while Adrian Peterson--a guy who not only gives up almost 30 pounds to MT and is only a little faster, and who has had durability issues in college--would be a fine pick? Isn't Adrian Peterson just as risky? Why is it that draft picks, the ultimate unproven commodities, have such an inordinately inflated value what the unproven players drafted high in round one deserve BOTH the draft pick and the big money? But a guy like MT, who has already proven he can take on NFL talent and win individual matchups and who has proven he knows how to run in an NFL system, that he's well-behaved and has a great work-ethic, that he's a team-player and great lockerroom guy, that he's made some HUGE plays for us in big games including in the playoffs...he's a huge risk?
See this is the problem. No one is saying the guy isn't talented and wouldn't be a good asset to a team. I don't question that, I do question if he could deliver as the lead dog. In my eyes, it means he's not worth two picks at a position that's not a need for this team. For the production level we got out of the two backs we had last year, they were cheaper than your 1 great back. So if one walks, I'm pretty sure the 'boys will be able to draft another one who will be able to immediately contribute.
Draft picks are overvalued. People love the potential of what might be over the guy they have right in front of them. Obviously you need to build through the draft, but I'll never understand why an unproven guy who was good in college is SO much more valuable than a somewhat proven guy who has been terrific in the NFL...and whose combine numbers would stack up well against any of them.
I swear reading this last post is like looking at Extremeskins. Draft picks are used to acquire young talent to replace aging talent on the roster. And if a young guy has been able to produce at a
high level in the NFL, but he's on the trading block and his team wants draft compensation, then that seems a bit more plausible. But there's no argument in the world you could post that would convince me that the 'boys should give up two picks for a somewhat proven backup.