Haimerej
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Statistics are a measurement of what has been and not what will be. If I flip a coin and it comes up heads 4 times in a row, that says nothing about the next flip. Considering teams only attempt 4th down conversions ~20% of the time the numbers suffer from a lower sample size and don't say much.
Let's say teams adopt this strategy of no kicking. Guaranteed you would see a drop in 4th down conversion rate probably along the lines of the league average for 3rd downs, ~39%.
Let's say teams adopt this strategy of no kicking. Guaranteed you would see a drop in 4th down conversion rate probably along the lines of the league average for 3rd downs, ~39%.