In the last two decades, the teams that start red hot are almost never the ones who win a ring. Sure the e-girls are 9-0 but mark me down as a doubter they are the team of destiny.
My theory as to why teams that start hot have a very hard time winning the SB is this- the season is too long and the competition too close to maintain that level of dominance. The teams that win SBs the last two decades tend to be the ones who peak at the right time.
Evidence of my point- look at all the SB winners the last two decades that struggled at some point during the reg season:
- 2021 Rams- were 6-4 after 10 games, then got hot all the way to the SB even though they did not have the coveted #1 seed. In fact, they were the #4 seed.
- 2020 Bucs- were 7-5 after 12 games, did not win their division but were hot at the end of the season and it carried them all the way to a Lombardi. Btw, they were the #5 seed.
- 2019 chiefs- were 6-4 after 10 games. Mahomes was only in his 3rd season and was still figuring out some things. Like the previous two teams, they got hot at the right time.
- 2018 Pats- were 9-5 in early December that year and finished as the AFC’s #2 seed. But they won their last 5 games all the way to their last SB win.
- 2015 broncos were 10-4 in December that year, including a stretch between early Nov to mid Dec where they were 3-4. But they got hot down the stretch winning their last 5 including the SB.
- 2012 ravens were 9-5 in mid Dec and barely won their division. Again, they got hot at the right time.
This could go on….point is, the team that gets hot when it matters most is almost always the SB champ. Can the e-girls stay red hot all season? History says an emphatic NO.
your analysis is flawed bob.
This is an unusual season, defenses dominating games , offenses not doing well, and in nfc, all 3 teams that we would have picked as
the teams to beat, are not doing good. GB will have to work hard just to make playoffs, and it looks like they wont even be in playoffs.
I think the nfc east playing the weak afc division, and a weak nfc div , gave the east teams a easier schedule.
Thats mostly why the nfce east teams look so good, including dallas.
But Phil has gone unbeaten, so even though they have had the easy schedule all the nfce teams have had, that is still pretty good.
If Phil can continue and get # 1 seed, that could make all the difference, in whether they get to the SB or not.
They would only have to play 2 games at home.
So they look good to get there, but winning is another matter.
Same for dallas, they have a better than usual chance this season, to get to a champ game or SB, but once there they may not win.
Truth is some other team that makes the playoffs, and is used to or has played better teams, they might go rather than one of the nfce teams.
I think it would be fun to see 3 or even 4 nfce teams in playoffs, and it might happen, unless some of the other teams start playing better.
TB, Minn,Seahawks ,Rams, all have the shot at getting in via div champ , and once in any one of those teams might beat the nfce teams.
I like the seahawks, total surprise team, and the giants as well. no idea how they would fare in playoffs, hard to tell just yet.
So fortget history this is an offbeat year and like them or not phil is fairly good so far.