41gy#;2626482 said:
I gave Owens credit for his 2007 season and used it against him. It isn't hard to do.
exactly. take anyone's "career year and compare it to the following one and it declines by definition
Go look at Rafael Vela's in depth analysis of this subject. Vela wrote about how Owens' YPA (2008) against some of the better corners was below Patrick Crayton's 2007 number in an 8 game sample. When there is that big of a drop, you better look at the player and not the offensive coordinator.
If you want to draw all of your conclusions on a half year of games, go ahead. Mine are on a full season
Owens put up a 2.0 YPA against Joyner's 'red' corners in 2008 (*8 game sample). I don't think those numbers are going to get much better with half the "election returns" in . The guy pretty much was a non-factor in too many games. Owens would be getting ready to make that consession phone call. Vela knows this too, and that is probably why he went with it. He watched the games and knows the 49ers gave him a career day by letting him get cranked up and not jamming him.
You don't know anything that you haven't read from Vela's
half analysis AGAIN half analysis. The fact you want to state that as the Bible, go ahead. While your at it, figure out why Barbers rushing avg went down a full yard.
In 2007, Owens was at 9.3 YPA against Joyner's 'red' corners. His 2008 65.8 YPA reflects that significant dip in his YPA against those better cornerbacks. Owens' YPA has declined 3 out of the last four years. There is a good chance it will never reach the 8.0 or 9.0 level again if he can't get off the jam.
Sooo, your argument is that he can't get beat "red" corners. How did that SF game w/ $80M Clements work out? Ohhh, that's right, he can't beat double teams, but RW11 just toasted all of his 1 on 1s. Or you want us to believe OWens can't shake bracket/double teams, witten can and RW must get doubled to. That's 6 defenders, which leaves 5 for rushing the passer and stopping the run. How did Barber do in Vela's analysis?
I didn't say he had bad years, I said his YPA declined. Owens is on the downside of his career. His 2007 season, under Garrett, is the only exception, and it was his best year. How ihe forgets.
So you are saying that Garrett had just as great a year? Explain why RW11 couldn't get open, why Barber's YPR went down, how BJ made the team, How Felix gets 0 touches in Wash #1.
All Owens fault.
Are you telling me that teams didn't jam Owens in 2007 and give him bracket coverage? One year he torches it, the next year Shaun Springs and the rest of the Commanders cornerbacks own him, ect...
Owens gets jammed, and he gets bumped off routes and slowed down. It takes him some time to get it cranked up again. Once he has to stop, it takes him a while to get going again. That makes him easy prey for the better corners, especially. Jimmy Johnson is on the record about this. Owens couldn't shake them this year. Using the safety is an easy excuse. All top WRs see bracket coverage, and they find a way to beat it enough. If you don't, you average 65.8 YPG. You left that stat out. I don't need a $ 9 million dollar, glorified decoy. Plus, he doesn't run good routes all the time, he doesn't know where to line up at times, and he doesn't have good hands. He isn't the YAC player he was in Philly and S.F.
So he can't beat top corners one on one or bracket coverage? Which is it? Why will you not address any of my statistical comparisons to other WR on a full year of data?
If you want to stick your head in the sand and not watch how the double and triple teams that GB put on Owens opened up Barber, Felix and Austin, I don't know what to tell you. If you don't want to see him toast Clements, S Brown, and outrun the entire Cincy secondary then fine. You are so myopic and consumed in your hatred that you will grasp at anything (someone else wrote) to validate your hatred.
What makes football great is that there are many moving parts. The GB game plan took Owens out of the game, but that single game was the one we dominanted from the beginning. Barber > 100 yds, felix 60Yd TD, Austin 50 yd post route as the safety is totally caught moving toward Owens.
The difference in some other games is primarily that Romo didn't make them pay like he did in GB, BJ was QB, The running game was suffering,etc
1st Commanders game;
Thanks. That's gold. The Bengals receivers couldn't believe it.
17 pass attempts, and he still got owned. Owens had over 8.0 pass attempts per game. He isn't a player who should get 140-150 pass attempts in a year, anymore. He can't beat the jam or bracket. Romo has to hold the ball on his first or second read; that hurts the offense.
Ahh yes, the Wash game, 2 pt loss because of Owens.......The OC calls 17 pass plays to Owens and
8 runs the entire game. (ahem 0 for Felix). Also, rewatch the game, Springs only broke up 1 pass 1 on 1. All the other times were double coverage.....but It was the WR fault.
Or Romo could try to find Austin or crayton, or the OC who might see the "coaches view" if he sat in the booth, may see where the coverage was cheating.
Explain the 1st Int vs Philly. Direct read to RW11, underthrown 5 yds and picked, or the Balt "punts", or the the Int to Ike Taylor, or the Int to desean Townsend. All Owens? YPA is a stat, but that stat is highly correlated with QB play as much as YAC is associated with type of offense (west coast vs timing). in YPA, if a QB throws a bad pick (Ike Taylor) that counts as 1 attempt for 0 yds for Owens. If a WR catches a 1 yd fade for a td, he gets a 1.0 YPA.
It is A stat that should be looked at in conjunction with others.
Now, I implore you, address the full year stats I gave you.
At least admit he has a better YPG than Moss or Housh, and his YPC (pretty solid stat) is the same as last year w/o BJ. and he is elite at making TDs.
If you want to argue he is not Megatron, Fitz or A Johnson, you win.
Average?, you are on LSD