A realistic look at our playoff hopes

From what I am seeing, we need 2 or 3 possible playoff teams to start losing and keep losing for a bit to get a wild card.

Concur?
 
Chasing6 said:
We need to run the table or it is irrelevant.
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Yeah well that is definitely needed, but still some of those team have to lose a couple or a few to get us in even then.

Really hoping the eagles fall apart against san diego, Washington and Buffalo.
 
DStar22 said:
Yeah well that is definitely needed, but still some of those team have to lose a couple or a few to get us in even then.

Really hoping the eagles fall apart against san diego, Washington and Buffalo.
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Well when they play each other what do you think will happen?
 
Chasing6 said:
That is like saying at the beginning of the year we don't control our own destiny because every team can go 17-0.
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No, it is nothing like that.
:laugh:

"Control your own destiny" means that if you win out, you win it all.

Every team controls their own destiny at the start of the season, yes.

Right now, we literally need to win out AND GET HELP (2 losses by either SF or Philly), which means we don't control our own destiny.

Thanks for clarifying - you weren't lying, you were just wrong.
 
Nav22 said:
No, it is nothing like that.
:laugh:

"Control your own destiny" means that if you win out, you win it all.

Every team controls their own destiny at the start of the season, yes.

Right now, we literally need to win out AND GET HELP (2 losses by either SF or Philly), which means we don't control our own destiny.

Thanks for clarifying - you weren't lying, you were just wrong.
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What do you think happens when these teams play each other? Do you think they both will win?
 
I'm not saying we will run the table, but if we do finish with 11 wins it's incredibly likely that we are going to be in the playoffs. Anyone arguing otherwise is just arguing to argue...
 
WillieBeamen said:
I think our biggest obstacle is winning out.

If we do that, I feel good about getting in
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I think that is why some of the people who were hoping for a good draft pick aren't here as much as of late. They see our draft prospects falling, and falling, and think in the end we will not make the playoffs. I've already told people how I think. During the week, I'm in logic mode, where I logically see that we probably won't make the playoffs, unless by some miracle of winning out. Come game day, I always want the cowboys to win and toss that out of the window. Not everyone is wired the same way. Some people, stay in that logical mode, on what is best for the cowboys in the long run, others are solely emotional driven and think we will win out regardless of the evidence and likelihood of that happening. Personally, I wish the cowboys could do a playoff run, but I think they'll just end up hurting us for the future with our position in the draft. It's like those seasons where the cowboys went 8-8 or something like that but in reality they should've been lower than that, and then we don't get anything worthwhile in the draft.
 
DuncanIso said:
#Hopium

We have a 10% of making it as a 7.

Sesson was over when we lost 3 out of 4.

https://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/cowboysstandings.html
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If I am reading that correctly it says we have a 24% chance of making the playoffs? Seems high, no?

Regardless, that isn't what I was saying what I was saying was IF we run the table we are almost guaranteed to be in. Not in any way saying I expect us to run the table.
 
Jarntt said:
If I am reading that correctly it says we have a 24% chance of making the playoffs? Seems high, no?

Regardless, that isn't what I was saying what I was saying was IF we run the table we are almost guaranteed to be in. Not in any way saying I expect us to run the table.
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90% if we run the table.
 
Jarntt said:
If I am reading that correctly it says we have a 24% chance of making the playoffs? Seems high, no?

Regardless, that isn't what I was saying what I was saying was IF we run the table we are almost guaranteed to be in. Not in any way saying I expect us to run the table.
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They add the other percentages together.

Our best odds, 10%, are making the 7th spot.

The others are not happening.
 
DuncanIso said:
They add the other percentages together.

Our best odds, 10%, are making the 7th spot.

The others are not happening.
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As of early December 2025, the Cowboys' odds of making the playoffs are approximately
25%, with a significant increase to 41% if they win their upcoming game against the Detroit Lions. A loss to the Lions would drop their playoff chances to just 10%. Betting odds have placed their odds at +265 to make the playoffs.
 
Diehardblues said:
I’m not sure 7-4 is floundering like 3-5-1. And the mindset and scenario with a defending champ which ultimately secured home field advantage is a stark difference .

I will agree winning breeds winning . And this team needs to win every game . Also that 94 team had a top defense. And first team to overcome 0-2 start to win SB after Emmitt holdout.

1994 was definitely a different path to a championship than 1993. They had to comeback on different occasions throughout the year including regular season finale against NYG to secure division and home field advantage.
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I meant the 94 team. I get confused and forget that the year for a team is the following year, when the superbowl is played. I was at the 93 superbowl in the Rose Bowl. A most beautiful game.
 
Diehardblues said:
I’m not sure 7-4 is floundering like 3-5-1. And the mindset and scenario with a defending champ which ultimately secured home field advantage is a stark difference .

I will agree winning breeds winning . And this team needs to win every game . Also that 94 team had a top defense. And first team to overcome 0-2 start to win SB after Emmitt holdout.

1994 was definitely a different path to a championship than 1993. They had to comeback on different occasions throughout the year including regular season finale against NYG to secure division and home field advantage.
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On defense Dallas was giving up 30 a game and was at the bottom stopping the run. In the last three games since the infusion of talent, they are giving up 21 points a game and are number 3 at stopping the run. That is a very defense. Q. Williams is number one for the season in the league for tackles of running backs for a loss. An insanely good pickup.
Today will be an awfully fun test.
 
DuncanIso said:
#Hopium

We have a 10% of making it as a 7.

Sesson was over when we lost 3 out of 4.

https://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/cowboysstandings.html
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Yall are using percentages that you dont understand. Take a second and look at the schedules for all the teams ahead of us. Many of them have murders row, and many of them have to play against each other, guaranteeing losses. 2 losses from Philly or SF, or 3 from the Bears who have the hardest schedule in the NFL and we take their spot. Sit back pipe down and watch this playoff run.
 
We could sure catch Tampa Bay if America can ever get out of this division mindset in sports. I was very happy to see the Big 10 get rid of it (even if it means Iowa will never see a big 10 championship game) lol

Other than that, we have a minimal chance of catching Eagles or Packers. Tonight's game will say a lot. Enjoy!
 
madcow74 said:
We could sure catch Tampa Bay if America can ever get out of this division mindset in sports. I was very happy to see the Big 10 get rid of it (even if it means Iowa will never see a big 10 championship game) lol

Other than that, we have a minimal chance of catching Eagles or Packers. Tonight's game will say a lot. Enjoy!
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Possibly, but not relevant. In that division, TB is 7-6, Car is 7-6. One will win division, other will be out.

It's the 2 teams w/ 9 wins and the Packers at 8-3-1. We'll have to catch one of them, unless the Eagles finish 3-2 or 2-3.
 
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