I hear what your saying but taking out any draft day trades these four teams need a bellcow and all pick before 27.
San Diego none there but may be after Marriotta
Baltimore no explanation needed
Arizona no explanation needed
Detroit an injury riddled old Bell? Don't buy it.
All these teams are playoff caliber teams that need a rb there is no chance gurely Gordon make it to 27.
You could be correct but any or all of those teams could decide to wait for the RB position until later. Just like so many people on here say that it is a deep draft and really good players will be available after the first... teams can and do think that way too. Particularly in recent years.
*San Diego needs OL in a big way. These days, most teams will go ahead and take the OL in the first (because they'll be really picked over by their second pick) and get the back later. They could go RB but I think there is a good chance they don't too. La'el Collins and Tevin Coleman just might look better than Gurley and Jake Fisher. In the middle of the first round, I'm not sure that I would want to take a RB either when there will be so many really good players at OLB/DE, OL, and corner.
*Ozzy in Baltimore has drafted RB once in the first round since 1996 (Jamal Lewis). He has drafted RB after that eleven times. He hasn't even drafted an offensive player in the first round since 2009 and that (Michael Oher) was an OL. Here is what Ozzy said about early offense vs early defense after the 2014 season: "
I don't go in with any preconceived ideas that I'm not going to draft offensive players; I'm an offensive player myself, but I do believe you win with the defense."
In the first two rounds of his drafts in Baltimore, Newsome has drafted defense 24 times in the first and second rounds, while he has drafted offense 14 times.
The Ravens need CB's badly and around where they pick, there seems to be very good value at the corner position. There will be a lot of guys there that they have highly ranked at corner. Might Ozzy decide to take one of them and get a back like Ajayi or Coleman in the second? Or Yeldon or Davis in the 3rd? I think there is definitely a good chance of that considering Newsome's propensity for drafting defense and that their 2014 season was almost derailed because they were using corners off the street when hit by a couple of injuries at the position.
Throw in that their WR need is at least as great as the RB need and that this is another good year for WR's and I think there is a good chance that if he does go offense in round 1, that it will be WR.
*Arizona does have a need at RB but they also have a big need for an edge rusher, ILB, and OL. Maybe they feel like so many teams these days feel and try to get a back a little later in the draft. If one edge rusher they like slides a little to them, I think that is the way they'll go. They can find a very good back in the second round but the odds of finding a pass rusher beyond the first is pretty slim unless they just get plain lucky. You could say the same thing if an OL slides down that they like.
*Detroit has needs at DT and OL that are greater than any need for a RB. They have one decent OT (Riley Reiff) and one pretty good G (Larry Warford) but the other three spots need upgrades. At DT they have Ngata but that is just about it and he doesn't have very many seasons left, period. Their 2014 defense was built on strength up the middle and they need help there in a bad way.
Having said all of that... Any of those teams could see Gurley or Gordon as BPA and pull the trigger, so I never say never. However, some pretty compelling arguments can be made for any of those teams not taking RB in the first round, so it surely isn't written in stone that half of those 4 teams will draft RB in the first.
I really don't think Detroit will. Arizona and Baltimore could and would be the two biggest worries because they're picking pretty late in the first and might see other positions as picked over. San Diego might but I'd think they'll go in a different direction with their first and look for a back in the second.
I would line up the chances like this: Arizona>Baltimore>San Diego>Detroit.
It's going to be interesting.