It is an extremely valid analogy in terms of probability. Buy there's no convincing you. You have it all figured out.
I'm just glad that my gut feels good regarding our Cowboys sending out more 2nd & 3rd string professionals than anything to play their guys out and compete for a spot on the roster next year. I just hope they don't play us into a #8 draft pick.
I would really love to see Chaz Green given the fact that his draft pick should have been a bell cow RB.
Note: La'el Collins doubtful for Sunday. There will be more announcements like him before gametime. Good job Cowboys. Smart play for once this year.
Actually, not... especially in terms of probability. Pocket aces has an 81% probability of inning a hand against any other starting hand. 3-4 has a 7% chance of winning against any random hand (11% if suited). I would think that the #1 pick has at least an 81% chance of panning out in the NFL, but the #25 pick has far better than a 7% chance. The disparity between 3 and 8 isn't that great...nor is it even close.
In terms of trade value, the #3 is far more valuable. I completely understand that. In terms of actually talent, it's not as much (though still more valuable). My issue was with comparing the Cowboys' situation to those two specific hands in poker. They don't compare.
By the way...NOWHERE in any of my posts have I said the Cowboys should go balls out to win this game. I think the individuals will do just that, and should do just that. Tell someone who's playing for his job to not try and win. It doesn't happen that way.
Like you, I'm hoping we see all the young guys like Damien Wilson, Chaz Green, et al give their best effort.