After reading and thinking myself silly (I'm such a dork when it comes to the draft this time of year), I feel like I've got a pretty good handle on what's going to happen at #16.
A week ago, I was convinced they were trading up. Two weeks ago, I thought they were trading back.
But now, my gut tells me they like where they are because one of three players will be there, and they're just fine with any of the three.
In order of their liking:
1. Aaron Donald. He's the preferred pick, and he's built much the same as La'Roi Glover in style, motor, and body type. He could get to them or go early, depending on potential early surprise picks.
2. Anthony Barr. Kind of a scary pick because he's a bit of a project, but he's the guy who most looks and plays like Demarcus Ware in his style and strengths. That, of course, is a need, too.
3. Zach Martin. A really good lineman who is thought to be a good tackle, and a pro bowl guard. That would further solidify an young, improving offensive lineman, and Jernigan, Easley, or Nix can probably be had in the second round.
One of those three will be there, and if not, that means somebody completely unexpected fell their way. That, or none of the quarterbacks have been taken, which is highly unlikely.