It's weird to me that a lot of people view trading a 1st rounder to get AD as basically throwing away a 1st rounder.
If things go the way we expect them to, we will be getting the 30-32 pick in the draft. If I could give that up to increase the odds of this team winning a Super Bowl in the next three years, I do that. That is not a waste of a 30-32 pick. I'd actually say that was a smart use of it.
I agree with this.
Let's consider the last picks of the 1st round going back to 2004: Ben Watson, Logan Mankins, Matthew Kiwanuka, Anthony Gonzalez, Kenny Phillips, Evander Hood, Patrick Robinson, Derek Sherrod, David Wilson, Matt Elam and Teddy Bridgewater.
Of that group of 11 players, Mankins is the only one to stand out as a perennial Pro Bowl caliber player. There are some other good players on that list but, overall, it certainly does not blow me away.
Let's look at the Cowboys' 1st round draft picks after winning their five Super Bowls: RB Bill Thomas, DT Larry Bethea, DE Shante Carver. The Cowboys also had two post-SB years where they had no 1st round selection.
Of the 14 players listed above, who on that list would you take over a 30-year old Adrian Peterson for one year, two years, three years?
The people here at CF arguing for Peterson believe that with him the Cowboys would have a very good chance of winning the SB this year (and next). I am in with that group.
Peterson would, I believe, thrive behind the Cowboys O-line this year and next. With the Cowboys passing game and the way Romo played last year without the pressure of having to carry the team on his back thanks to a dominant running game, I see Dallas as likely winning two SBs back-to-back with Peterson in the backfield.
What no. 32 pick in the 2016 draft will be more valuable to the Cowboys than Peterson next year?
IMHO, if the Cowboys get Peterson, you'll see Lindy's, Athlon's, Sporting News, Pro Football Weekly and a host of other preseason football publications picking Dallas to reach the SB or win it.
After a 20-year drought, that would be worth a no. 1 draft pick for me.